Sha Tin · 2022-03-06 · 15:03
Race 5
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2022-03-06 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. SMILING COLLECTOR, ridden by M L Yeung and trained by K H Ting, won by HD, with HAPPY FOREVER second and HAPPY TANGO third. The 4.1 favourite SALUTATION finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SMILING COLLECTOR SR1 1.09.79 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 11 | 5.0 | HD |
| 2 | 5 | HAPPY FOREVER XB/TT1 R Maia · K L Man | R Maia | K L Man | 6 | 45.0 | HD |
| 3 | 9 | HAPPY TANGO B2 J Moreira · Y S Tsui | J Moreira | Y S Tsui | 12 | 25.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | MY ECSTATIC TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 5 | 6.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 12 | SALUTATION P1 K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 1 | 4.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | PLEASANT ENDEAVOR B-/CP2 K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 8 | 7.8 | 2 |
| 7 | 8 | STARRY NIGHT D Moor · D A Hayes | D Moor | D A Hayes | 4 | 7.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 1 | MARADO C L Chau · P O'Sullivan | C L Chau | P O'Sullivan | 9 | 7.2 | 3 |
| 9 | 6 | SIXTH GENERATION B Shinn · C H Yip | B Shinn | C H Yip | 10 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | GET THE MONIES C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 3 | 23.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | CALL ME LU TT V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 2 | 73.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 10 | COOLCELEB B/TT H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 7 | 93.0 | 9-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | SALUTATION | 21.0% | 4.77 | 5 |
| 2 | 2 | MY ECSTATIC | 19.5% | 5.13 | 4 |
| 3 | 1 | MARADO | 15.3% | 6.56 | 8 |
| 4 | 3 | PLEASANT ENDEAVOR | 11.8% | 8.48 | 6 |
| 5 | 9 | HAPPY TANGO | 8.1% | 12.30 | 3 |
| 6 | 6 | SIXTH GENERATION | 7.4% | 13.55 | 9 |
| 7 | 4 | GET THE MONIES | 7.1% | 14.15 | 10 |
| 8 | 8 | STARRY NIGHT | 3.5% | 28.52 | 7 |
| 9 | 7 | SMILING COLLECTOR | 2.5% | 39.44 | 1 |
| 10 | 10 | COOLCELEB | 1.7% | 58.72 | 12 |
| 11 | 11 | CALL ME LU | 1.3% | 77.74 | 11 |
| 12 | 5 | HAPPY FOREVER | 0.9% | 113.74 | 2 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 50.5
PLACE
5 89
7 20.5
9 68.5
QUINELLA
5,7 1,393
QUINELLA PLACE
5,7 403
5,9 696
7,9 292.5
FORECAST
7,5 2,143
TIERCE
7,5,9 35,486
TRIO
5,7,9 10,980
FIRST 4
2,5,7,9 10,507
QUARTET
7,5,9,2 276,751
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 17
A1 —
4TH DOUBLE
9/5 620
9/7 555