Sha Tin · 2022-03-06 · 13:01
Race 1
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2022-03-06 was Class 1 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. WILL POWER, ridden by B Shinn and trained by D J Whyte, won by 1-1/4, with RED DESERT second and CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.5 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | WILL POWER Closed strongly XB 1.37.99 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Shinn · D J Whyte | B Shinn | D J Whyte | 6 | 2.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 6 | RED DESERT Closed strongly K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 3 | 6.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 2 | CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT Closed strongly CP/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 4 | 3.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 5 | TELECOM FIGHTERS C Y Ho · Y S Tsui | C Y Ho | Y S Tsui | 2 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 3 | KINGS SHIELD Led early CP-/B1 K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 1 | 11.0 | 12 |
| 6 | 4 | HONGKONG GREAT B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 5 | 5.3 | ML |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT | 41.3% | 2.42 | 3 |
| 2 | 4 | HONGKONG GREAT | 20.8% | 4.81 | 6 |
| 3 | 6 | RED DESERT | 14.0% | 7.17 | 2 |
| 4 | 5 | TELECOM FIGHTERS | 11.9% | 8.43 | 4 |
| 5 | 1 | WILL POWER | 8.3% | 11.98 | 1 |
| 6 | 3 | KINGS SHIELD | 3.8% | 26.29 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 25.5
PLACE
1 13.5
6 30.5
QUINELLA
1,6 89
FORECAST
1,6 134
TIERCE
1,6,2 299
TRIO
1,2,6 65
FIRST 4
1,2,5,6 48
QUARTET
1,6,2,5 981