Sha Tin · 2022-03-06 · 16:38
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LEADING FORTUNE Closed strongly B 1.35.31 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 1 | 5.1 | N |
| 2 | 0 | BEAUTY LIVE Led early TT J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 5 | 1.5 | N |
| 3 | 0 | PRECISE EXPRESS Closed strongly H/TT K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 6 | 15.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | COPARTNER ELITES Closed strongly TT1 C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 4 | 14.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | VICTORY PARK Closed strongly B/TT1 K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 8 | 84.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | SACRED IBIS Closed strongly XB R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 10 | 25.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | FIVE G PATCH Closed strongly TT1 H Bentley · A S Cruz | H Bentley | A S Cruz | 9 | 59.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | LUCKY GOLD B/H D Moor · K W Lui | D Moor | K W Lui | 2 | 85.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | ODE TO JOY B/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 3 | 15.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | HAPPY ANGEL CP H W Lai · D A Hayes | H W Lai | D A Hayes | 11 | 184.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | ENTRUSTED Closed strongly CP/TT B Shinn · W Y So | B Shinn | W Y So | 12 | 70.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 0 | PERFECT TO GREAT B1 L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 7 | 22.0 | 7 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2022-03-06 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. LEADING FORTUNE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Size, won by N, with BEAUTY LIVE second and PRECISE EXPRESS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.5 favourite BEAUTY LIVE finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BEAUTY LIVE | 42.8% | 2.33 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | LEADING FORTUNE | 23.9% | 4.18 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | PERFECT TO GREAT | 7.8% | 12.79 | 12 |
| 4 | 0 | PRECISE EXPRESS | 6.2% | 16.23 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | ODE TO JOY | 4.8% | 20.79 | 9 |
| 6 | 0 | SACRED IBIS | 3.4% | 29.36 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | ENTRUSTED | 3.2% | 30.83 | 11 |
| 8 | 0 | FIVE G PATCH | 2.9% | 34.39 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | COPARTNER ELITES | 2.5% | 39.53 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | LUCKY GOLD | 1.1% | 90.14 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | VICTORY PARK | 0.8% | 122.01 | 5 |
| 12 | 0 | HAPPY ANGEL | 0.4% | 229.64 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 51
PLACE
6 10.1
9 16
11 33
QUINELLA
6,9 28
QUINELLA PLACE
6,9 16.5
6,11 36.5
9,11 63
FORECAST
9,6 146
TIERCE
9,6,11 515
TRIO
6,9,11 82
FIRST 4
3,6,9,11 120
QUARTET
9,6,11,3 3,227
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 30.5
A1 —
7TH DOUBLE
10/6 12.5
10/9 186.5