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Sha Tin · 2022-03-06 · 17:13

Race 9

Class 3 GOOD 1200m Course C 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.09.58
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 FLYING ACE B 1.09.58 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · D J Hall 10 1.5 SH
2 0 ROCK YA HEART Z Purton · K W Lui 7 5.5 SH
3 0 BEAUTY MISSION SR V Borges · F C Lor 8 21.0 SH
4 0 CAMPIONE TT1 L Ferraris · A S Cruz 1 43.0 3/4
5 0 PINS PRINCE H/P/TT J Moreira · J Size 12 8.2 1
6 0 MAJESTIC KNIGHT L Hewitson · D J Whyte 11 111.0 1-1/2
7 0 ALL IN MIND CP-/XB-/TT C Y Ho · W Y So 3 16.0 2-1/2
8 0 JOLLY RULER H H Bentley · P F Yiu 5 31.0 2-3/4
9 0 DUBLIN STAR B/TT A Hamelin · K L Man 4 54.0 4
10 0 LOCKHEED B-/CP2/TT D Moor · C S Shum 6 77.0 4-3/4
11 0 TURQUOISE HOPE B K C Leung · P O'Sullivan 2 39.0 5-1/2
12 0 EASY SNIP K Teetan · T P Yung 9 47.0 7

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2022-03-06 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. FLYING ACE, ridden by M F Poon and trained by D J Hall, won by SH, with ROCK YA HEART second and BEAUTY MISSION third. Victory came as the 1.5 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. FLYING ACE—2. ROCK YA HEART+0.1L3. BEAUTY MISSION+0.1L4. CAMPIONE+0.75L5. PINS PRINCE+1L6. MAJESTIC KNIGHT+1.5L7. ALL IN MIND+2.5L8. JOLLY RULER+2.75L9. DUBLIN STAR+4L10. LOCKHEED+4.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick FLYING ACE (34.2%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 FLYING ACE 34.2% 2.92 1
2 0 PINS PRINCE 23.4% 4.27 5
3 0 ROCK YA HEART 18.8% 5.32 2
4 0 BEAUTY MISSION 4.2% 23.96 3
5 0 EASY SNIP 3.4% 29.19 12
6 0 ALL IN MIND 3.1% 32.25 7
7 0 DUBLIN STAR 2.9% 33.99 9
8 0 LOCKHEED 2.8% 35.48 10
9 0 CAMPIONE 2.0% 49.72 4
10 0 TURQUOISE HOPE 2.0% 50.03 11
11 0 JOLLY RULER 1.9% 52.94 8
12 0 MAJESTIC KNIGHT 1.2% 82.19 6
FLYING ACE — wonPINS PRINCEROCK YA HEARTBEAUTY MISSIONEASY SNIPALL IN MINDDUBLIN STARLOCKHEEDCAMPIONETURQUOISE HOPEJOLLY RULERMAJESTIC KNIGHT

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 15

PLACE

2 15.5

3 10.1

12 37

QUINELLA

2,3 34

QUINELLA PLACE

2,3 19

2,12 112

3,12 46.5

FORECAST

3,2 39

TIERCE

3,2,12 377

TRIO

2,3,12 158

FIRST 4

1,2,3,12 877

QUARTET

3,2,12,1 5,066

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A1 12

A2 —

A3 —

8TH DOUBLE

9/2 50

9/3 144.5