Sha Tin · 2022-03-06 · 17:13
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2022-03-06 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. FLYING ACE, ridden by M F Poon and trained by D J Hall, won by SH, with ROCK YA HEART second and BEAUTY MISSION third. Victory came as the 1.5 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | FLYING ACE B 1.09.58 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 10 | 1.5 | SH |
| 2 | 2 | ROCK YA HEART Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 7 | 5.5 | SH |
| 3 | 12 | BEAUTY MISSION SR V Borges · F C Lor | V Borges | F C Lor | 8 | 21.0 | SH |
| 4 | 1 | CAMPIONE TT1 L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 1 | 43.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | PINS PRINCE H/P/TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 12 | 8.2 | 1 |
| 6 | 10 | MAJESTIC KNIGHT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 11 | 111.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | ALL IN MIND CP-/XB-/TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 3 | 16.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | JOLLY RULER H H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 5 | 31.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 8 | DUBLIN STAR B/TT A Hamelin · K L Man | A Hamelin | K L Man | 4 | 54.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 4 | LOCKHEED B-/CP2/TT D Moor · C S Shum | D Moor | C S Shum | 6 | 77.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 11 | TURQUOISE HOPE B K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 2 | 39.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 9 | EASY SNIP K Teetan · T P Yung | K Teetan | T P Yung | 9 | 47.0 | 7 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | FLYING ACE | 34.2% | 2.92 | 1 |
| 2 | 7 | PINS PRINCE | 23.4% | 4.27 | 5 |
| 3 | 2 | ROCK YA HEART | 18.8% | 5.32 | 2 |
| 4 | 12 | BEAUTY MISSION | 4.2% | 23.96 | 3 |
| 5 | 9 | EASY SNIP | 3.4% | 29.19 | 12 |
| 6 | 5 | ALL IN MIND | 3.1% | 32.25 | 7 |
| 7 | 8 | DUBLIN STAR | 2.9% | 33.99 | 9 |
| 8 | 4 | LOCKHEED | 2.8% | 35.48 | 10 |
| 9 | 1 | CAMPIONE | 2.0% | 49.72 | 4 |
| 10 | 11 | TURQUOISE HOPE | 2.0% | 50.03 | 11 |
| 11 | 6 | JOLLY RULER | 1.9% | 52.94 | 8 |
| 12 | 10 | MAJESTIC KNIGHT | 1.2% | 82.19 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 15
PLACE
2 15.5
3 10.1
12 37
QUINELLA
2,3 34
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 19
2,12 112
3,12 46.5
FORECAST
3,2 39
TIERCE
3,2,12 377
TRIO
2,3,12 158
FIRST 4
1,2,3,12 877
QUARTET
3,2,12,1 5,066
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 12
A3 —
A2 —
8TH DOUBLE
9/2 50
9/3 144.5