Sha Tin · 2022-03-06 · 14:01
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MISSION BRAVO Wire to wire H/TT 1.37.74 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 12 | 80.0 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | BLOTTING PAPER Closed strongly TT A Hamelin · R Gibson | A Hamelin | R Gibson | 4 | 6.5 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | UNITE SPIRIT Closed strongly B/XB B Shinn · W Y So | B Shinn | W Y So | 5 | 11.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | RUN THE TABLE H D Moor · K W Lui | D Moor | K W Lui | 7 | 80.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | AMAZING TEENS Closed strongly H/P1/TT Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 8 | 7.2 | 5-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | EL VALIENTE Closed strongly TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 11 | 2.6 | 7-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | VITRALITE XB R Maia · P O'Sullivan | R Maia | P O'Sullivan | 9 | 27.0 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | STEEL WIN K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 3 | 8.5 | 8-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | G ONE EXCELLENT TT V Borges · C H Yip | V Borges | C H Yip | 2 | 8.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | WONDER YEARS Closed strongly B/XB M F Poon · D J Whyte | M F Poon | D J Whyte | 1 | 38.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | CABLE SPEED P1 M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 6 | 47.0 | 14-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | ROYAL CAMPBELL CP/H L Hewitson · P F Yiu | L Hewitson | P F Yiu | 13 | 44.0 | 21-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | GOLD COMET B K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 10 | 13.0 | 23-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2022-03-06 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. MISSION BRAVO, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by K H Ting, won by SH, with BLOTTING PAPER second and UNITE SPIRIT third. The winner led throughout. The 2.6 favourite EL VALIENTE finished 6th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | AMAZING TEENS | 26.8% | 3.73 | 5 |
| 2 | 0 | EL VALIENTE | 20.8% | 4.80 | 6 |
| 3 | 0 | BLOTTING PAPER | 10.0% | 9.98 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | STEEL WIN | 9.7% | 10.33 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | G ONE EXCELLENT | 7.9% | 12.68 | 9 |
| 6 | 0 | UNITE SPIRIT | 5.8% | 17.23 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | WONDER YEARS | 4.5% | 22.05 | 10 |
| 8 | 0 | VITRALITE | 4.1% | 24.46 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | GOLD COMET | 3.3% | 30.25 | 13 |
| 10 | 0 | MISSION BRAVO | 2.3% | 42.58 | 1 |
| 11 | 0 | RUN THE TABLE | 2.1% | 47.04 | 4 |
| 12 | 0 | CABLE SPEED | 1.4% | 72.91 | 11 |
| 13 | 0 | ROYAL CAMPBELL | 1.2% | 83.86 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 803
PLACE
4 27
6 178.5
8 19
QUINELLA
6,8 3,186
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 1,027
4,8 68.5
6,8 848.5
FORECAST
6,8 5,273
TIERCE
6,8,4 55,660
TRIO
4,6,8 8,188
FIRST 4
4,6,8,10 41,545
QUARTET
6,8,4,10 790,900
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
4/6 2,158.5
4/8 38.5
3 PICK 1
A3 29
A2 —
A1 —