Sha Tin · 2022-03-06 · 16:08
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FREE FOAL Closed strongly CP 1.35.47 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 5 | 3.4 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | STAR CONTACT Closed strongly B/TT B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 7 | 6.4 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | COPARTNER ERA Closed strongly B V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 2 | 10.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | TOYCOON Closed strongly CP C L Chau · P F Yiu | C L Chau | P F Yiu | 14 | 14.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | RING BELLS Closed strongly B/XB R Maia · R Gibson | R Maia | R Gibson | 13 | 10.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | VOYAGE STAR Led early V/TT H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 12 | 17.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE Closed strongly K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 10 | 27.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | DECISIVE ACTION Closed strongly CP/TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 6 | 17.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | CIRCUIT ELITE B-/TT H T Mo · A S Cruz | H T Mo | A S Cruz | 9 | 53.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | NICHOLSON RETURNS B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 8 | 21.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | BLISSFUL LIFE TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 3 | 47.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | EL JEFE Closed strongly B/XB J Moreira · C H Yip | J Moreira | C H Yip | 11 | 8.2 | 5-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | NEARLY FINE TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 4 | 7.3 | 5-3/4 |
| 14 | 0 | LUCK STAR H1 H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 1 | 117.0 | 9 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2022-03-06 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. FREE FOAL, ridden by Z Purton and trained by F C Lor, won by 2-1/4, with STAR CONTACT second and COPARTNER ERA third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.4 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | NEARLY FINE | 19.7% | 5.08 | 13 |
| 2 | 0 | FREE FOAL | 19.1% | 5.25 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | EL JEFE | 11.6% | 8.65 | 12 |
| 4 | 0 | STAR CONTACT | 9.4% | 10.65 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | VOYAGE STAR | 7.3% | 13.70 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | COPARTNER ERA | 6.2% | 16.13 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | RING BELLS | 5.7% | 17.67 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | TOYCOON | 5.0% | 19.81 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE | 4.3% | 23.04 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | NICHOLSON RETURNS | 3.5% | 28.38 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | BLISSFUL LIFE | 2.9% | 34.43 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | DECISIVE ACTION | 2.9% | 35.00 | 8 |
| 13 | 0 | CIRCUIT ELITE | 1.9% | 51.45 | 9 |
| 14 | 0 | LUCK STAR | 0.5% | 187.83 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 34
PLACE
4 29
5 25.5
10 14.5
QUINELLA
5,10 111.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 90
4,10 71.5
5,10 47
FORECAST
10,5 243
TIERCE
10,5,4 1,082
TRIO
4,5,10 248
FIRST 4
4,5,8,10 1,286
QUARTET
10,5,4,8 16,320
All pools (3 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
4,8,11/4,5,10 3,288
3 PICK 1
A1 24
A2 —
A3 —
6TH DOUBLE
4/5 51.5
4/10 245.5