跑馬地 · 2022-03-16 · 20:16
第 4場
2022-03-16跑馬地第4場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Badel策騎、C Fownes訓練的KOKUSHI MUSOU勝出，贏出1-3/4。GANG OF BROTHERS獲得亞軍；HERO STAR獲得季軍。頭馬以4.3倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | KOKUSHI MUSOU H/TT 1.09.72 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 1 | 4.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 7 | GANG OF BROTHERS L Hewitson · P O'Sullivan | L Hewitson | P O'Sullivan | 2 | 11.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 11 | HERO STAR TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 6 | 5.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 12 | TAKINGUFURTHER V M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 4 | 14.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 1 | HARMONY N HOME C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 5 | 8.2 | 3 |
| 6 | 6 | SURE JOYFUL R Maia · P F Yiu | R Maia | P F Yiu | 10 | 5.6 | 3 |
| 7 | 2 | SOARING TOWER CP-/P1 K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 3 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 3 | CORDYCEPS ONE B-/H M Chadwick · K W Lui | M Chadwick | K W Lui | 11 | 33.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 9 | MELBOURNE HALL H/XB M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 12 | 20.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 10 | DASSIT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 8 | 12.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 5 | NOBLE DESIRE CP/SR B Shinn · D J Whyte | B Shinn | D J Whyte | 7 | 15.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 4 | HEI WONGCHOY V Borges · Y S Tsui | V Borges | Y S Tsui | 9 | 54.0 | 11-1/4 |
| — | 0 | SIGHT HERO Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SOARING TOWER | 19.0% | 5.26 | 7 |
| 2 | 11 | HERO STAR | 10.6% | 9.48 | 3 |
| 3 | 8 | KOKUSHI MUSOU | 10.1% | 9.86 | 1 |
| 4 | 12 | TAKINGUFURTHER | 9.9% | 10.11 | 4 |
| 5 | 10 | DASSIT | 9.7% | 10.26 | 10 |
| 6 | 6 | SURE JOYFUL | 7.7% | 12.97 | 6 |
| 7 | 9 | MELBOURNE HALL | 7.5% | 13.33 | 9 |
| 8 | 1 | HARMONY N HOME | 7.1% | 14.14 | 5 |
| 9 | 5 | NOBLE DESIRE | 6.8% | 14.65 | 11 |
| 10 | 3 | CORDYCEPS ONE | 5.2% | 19.07 | 8 |
| 11 | 4 | HEI WONGCHOY | 3.5% | 28.96 | 12 |
| 12 | 7 | GANG OF BROTHERS | 2.8% | 35.24 | 2 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 43.5
PLACE
7 39.5
8 16
11 20
QUINELLA
7,8 289.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,8 86.5
7,11 118.5
8,11 52.5
FORECAST
8,7 418
TIERCE
8,7,11 2,604
TRIO
7,8,11 471
FIRST 4
7,8,11,12 1,137
QUARTET
8,7,11,12 20,367
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 24.5
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE
3/7 39
3/8 121