跑馬地 · 2022-03-16 · 20:46
第 5場
2022-03-16跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD。由B Shinn策騎、K W Lui訓練的UNIVERSAL GO GO勝出，贏出N。BIG TWO獲得亞軍；NEARLY FINE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.0倍大熱門BULLETPROOF跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | UNIVERSAL GO GO 後段發力 B/TT 1.39.80 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） B Shinn · K W Lui | B Shinn | K W Lui | 1 | 21.0 | N |
| 2 | 8 | BIG TWO 後段發力 H/SR/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 9 | 5.1 | N |
| 3 | 3 | NEARLY FINE 後段發力 TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 11 | 6.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | SUPER RED DRAGON B/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 7 | 12.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | HYPERION TREE 後段發力 B H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 2 | 18.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 4 | BULLETPROOF 後段發力 B Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 6 | 3.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 2 | MORE THAN ENOUGH 早段領放 B/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 12 | 36.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 12 | NAMJONG CORTEZ B/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 3 | 45.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 1 | V CHEVALIERS 後段發力 B/H/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 5 | 13.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | CHATER PINS SR A Hamelin · D A Hayes | A Hamelin | D A Hayes | 4 | 6.5 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 6 | UNICORNBABY B/TT R Maia · R Gibson | R Maia | R Gibson | 10 | 44.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 9 | HAPPY PROFIT TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 8 | 22.0 | 9-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | BULLETPROOF | 25.9% | 3.86 | 6 |
| 2 | 3 | NEARLY FINE | 15.2% | 6.59 | 3 |
| 3 | 10 | CHATER PINS | 10.5% | 9.51 | 10 |
| 4 | 5 | SUPER RED DRAGON | 10.0% | 9.98 | 4 |
| 5 | 7 | UNIVERSAL GO GO | 9.3% | 10.80 | 1 |
| 6 | 11 | HYPERION TREE | 6.3% | 15.83 | 5 |
| 7 | 1 | V CHEVALIERS | 6.0% | 16.76 | 9 |
| 8 | 8 | BIG TWO | 5.2% | 19.31 | 2 |
| 9 | 2 | MORE THAN ENOUGH | 5.0% | 20.03 | 7 |
| 10 | 9 | HAPPY PROFIT | 2.4% | 41.44 | 12 |
| 11 | 6 | UNICORNBABY | 2.3% | 42.88 | 11 |
| 12 | 12 | NAMJONG CORTEZ | 1.9% | 52.52 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 215.5
PLACE
3 21
7 50.5
8 16.5
QUINELLA
7,8 496
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 151.5
3,8 61.5
7,8 145
FORECAST
7,8 1,416
TIERCE
7,8,3 7,936
TRIO
3,7,8 865
FIRST 4
3,5,7,8 2,132
QUARTET
7,8,3,5 83,033
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
7,8,11/3,7,8 42,395
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 34.5
A1 —
4TH DOUBLE
8/7 1,050
8/8 29