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Happy Valley · 2022-03-16 · 20:46

Race 5

Class 4 GOOD 1650m Course C 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.39.80
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 UNIVERSAL GO GO Closed strongly B/TT 1.39.80 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Shinn · K W Lui 1 21.0 N
2 0 BIG TWO Closed strongly H/SR/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte 9 5.1 N
3 0 NEARLY FINE Closed strongly TT J Moreira · C Fownes 11 6.2 1-3/4
4 0 SUPER RED DRAGON B/TT K Teetan · W Y So 7 12.0 2-3/4
5 0 HYPERION TREE Closed strongly B H Bentley · T P Yung 2 18.0 2-3/4
6 0 BULLETPROOF Closed strongly B Z Purton · P F Yiu 6 3.0 3
7 0 MORE THAN ENOUGH Led early B/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz 12 36.0 3-1/4
8 0 NAMJONG CORTEZ B/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting 3 45.0 3-1/4
9 0 V CHEVALIERS Closed strongly B/H/TT M Chadwick · K L Man 5 13.0 4-1/4
10 0 CHATER PINS SR A Hamelin · D A Hayes 4 6.5 5-1/4
11 0 UNICORNBABY B/TT R Maia · R Gibson 10 44.0 6-1/4
12 0 HAPPY PROFIT TT C Y Ho · C S Shum 8 22.0 9-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2022-03-16 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. UNIVERSAL GO GO, ridden by B Shinn and trained by K W Lui, won by N, with BIG TWO second and NEARLY FINE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite BULLETPROOF finished 6th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. UNIVERSAL GO GO—2. BIG TWO+0.05L3. NEARLY FINE+1.75L4. SUPER RED DRAGON+2.75L5. HYPERION TREE+2.75L6. BULLETPROOF+3L7. MORE THAN ENOUGH+3.25L8. NAMJONG CORTEZ+3.25L9. V CHEVALIERS+4.25L10. CHATER PINS+5.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick BULLETPROOF (25.9%) finished 6th — the winner UNIVERSAL GO GO was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 BULLETPROOF 25.9% 3.86 6
2 0 NEARLY FINE 15.2% 6.59 3
3 0 CHATER PINS 10.5% 9.51 10
4 0 SUPER RED DRAGON 10.0% 9.98 4
5 0 UNIVERSAL GO GO 9.3% 10.80 1
6 0 HYPERION TREE 6.3% 15.83 5
7 0 V CHEVALIERS 6.0% 16.76 9
8 0 BIG TWO 5.2% 19.31 2
9 0 MORE THAN ENOUGH 5.0% 20.03 7
10 0 HAPPY PROFIT 2.4% 41.44 12
11 0 UNICORNBABY 2.3% 42.88 11
12 0 NAMJONG CORTEZ 1.9% 52.52 8
BULLETPROOFNEARLY FINECHATER PINSSUPER RED DRAGONUNIVERSAL GO GO — wonHYPERION TREEV CHEVALIERSBIG TWOMORE THAN ENOUGHHAPPY PROFITUNICORNBABYNAMJONG CORTEZ

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 215.5

PLACE

3 21

7 50.5

8 16.5

QUINELLA

7,8 496

QUINELLA PLACE

3,7 151.5

3,8 61.5

7,8 145

FORECAST

7,8 1,416

TIERCE

7,8,3 7,936

TRIO

3,7,8 865

FIRST 4

3,5,7,8 2,132

QUARTET

7,8,3,5 83,033

All pools (3 more)

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

7,8,11/3,7,8 42,395

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A1 —

A3 34.5

4TH DOUBLE

8/7 1,050

8/8 29