Happy Valley · 2022-03-16 · 20:46
Race 5
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2022-03-16 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. UNIVERSAL GO GO, ridden by B Shinn and trained by K W Lui, won by N, with BIG TWO second and NEARLY FINE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite BULLETPROOF finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | UNIVERSAL GO GO Closed strongly B/TT 1.39.80 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Shinn · K W Lui | B Shinn | K W Lui | 1 | 21.0 | N |
| 2 | 8 | BIG TWO Closed strongly H/SR/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 9 | 5.1 | N |
| 3 | 3 | NEARLY FINE Closed strongly TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 11 | 6.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | SUPER RED DRAGON B/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 7 | 12.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | HYPERION TREE Closed strongly B H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 2 | 18.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 4 | BULLETPROOF Closed strongly B Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 6 | 3.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 2 | MORE THAN ENOUGH Led early B/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 12 | 36.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 12 | NAMJONG CORTEZ B/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 3 | 45.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 1 | V CHEVALIERS Closed strongly B/H/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 5 | 13.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | CHATER PINS SR A Hamelin · D A Hayes | A Hamelin | D A Hayes | 4 | 6.5 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 6 | UNICORNBABY B/TT R Maia · R Gibson | R Maia | R Gibson | 10 | 44.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 9 | HAPPY PROFIT TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 8 | 22.0 | 9-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | BULLETPROOF | 25.9% | 3.86 | 6 |
| 2 | 3 | NEARLY FINE | 15.2% | 6.59 | 3 |
| 3 | 10 | CHATER PINS | 10.5% | 9.51 | 10 |
| 4 | 5 | SUPER RED DRAGON | 10.0% | 9.98 | 4 |
| 5 | 7 | UNIVERSAL GO GO | 9.3% | 10.80 | 1 |
| 6 | 11 | HYPERION TREE | 6.3% | 15.83 | 5 |
| 7 | 1 | V CHEVALIERS | 6.0% | 16.76 | 9 |
| 8 | 8 | BIG TWO | 5.2% | 19.31 | 2 |
| 9 | 2 | MORE THAN ENOUGH | 5.0% | 20.03 | 7 |
| 10 | 9 | HAPPY PROFIT | 2.4% | 41.44 | 12 |
| 11 | 6 | UNICORNBABY | 2.3% | 42.88 | 11 |
| 12 | 12 | NAMJONG CORTEZ | 1.9% | 52.52 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 215.5
PLACE
3 21
7 50.5
8 16.5
QUINELLA
7,8 496
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 151.5
3,8 61.5
7,8 145
FORECAST
7,8 1,416
TIERCE
7,8,3 7,936
TRIO
3,7,8 865
FIRST 4
3,5,7,8 2,132
QUARTET
7,8,3,5 83,033
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
7,8,11/3,7,8 42,395
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 34.5
A1 —
4TH DOUBLE
8/7 1,050
8/8 29