Happy Valley · 2022-03-16 · 21:46
Race 7
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2022-03-16 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. EASON, ridden by J Moreira and trained by F C Lor, won by 2-1/2, with STOCK LEGEND second and WINE AND WINE third. Victory came as the 1.7 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | EASON TT 1.09.37 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 3 | 1.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 2 | 3 | STOCK LEGEND H/TT Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 1 | 6.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 10 | WINE AND WINE B/TT C Wong · T P Yung | C Wong | T P Yung | 10 | 47.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | GOLDEN LINK M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 5 | 19.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 5 | KILLER INSTINCT TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 4 | 5.7 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 6 | MERCURIAL H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 6 | 10.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 9 | RHAPSODY V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 9 | 38.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 8 | SUCCESS FIGHTER B/TT C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 2 | 14.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 7 | STOICISM TT1 A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 7 | 25.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 1 | TEAM SPIRIT B/TT K H Chan · W Y So | K H Chan | W Y So | 8 | 43.0 | 9-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | EASON | 50.6% | 1.97 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 | MERCURIAL | 12.6% | 7.92 | 6 |
| 3 | 3 | STOCK LEGEND | 12.4% | 8.04 | 2 |
| 4 | 2 | GOLDEN LINK | 5.3% | 18.80 | 4 |
| 5 | 1 | TEAM SPIRIT | 4.6% | 21.73 | 10 |
| 6 | 7 | STOICISM | 3.5% | 28.66 | 9 |
| 7 | 5 | KILLER INSTINCT | 3.2% | 30.99 | 5 |
| 8 | 8 | SUCCESS FIGHTER | 3.0% | 33.28 | 8 |
| 9 | 10 | WINE AND WINE | 2.4% | 41.44 | 3 |
| 10 | 9 | RHAPSODY | 2.3% | 44.44 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 17.5
PLACE
3 19
4 10.5
10 78
QUINELLA
3,4 49
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 26
3,10 318
4,10 142.5
FORECAST
4,3 71
TIERCE
4,3,10 1,764
TRIO
3,4,10 632
FIRST 4
2,3,4,10 1,127
QUARTET
4,3,10,2 11,428
All pools (5 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,8,11/3,4,10 10,266
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 14
A2 —
6TH DOUBLE
1/3 50
1/4 71
TRIPLE TRIO
3,7,8/1,8,11/3,4,10 818,240
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,7,8/1,8,11/Any Combination 4,253