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Happy Valley · 2022-03-16 · 22:53

Race 9

Class 3 GOOD 1650m Course C 10 runners

Result

Official · 1.39.86
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 RED MAJESTY Closed strongly B/TT 1.39.86 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · D A Hayes 5 11.0 SH
2 0 EVERYONE'S DELIGHT Led early V/TT A Badel · F C Lor 9 9.9 SH
3 0 GALLANT CROWN Closed strongly B/TT R Maia · A T Millard 2 3.5 1/2
4 0 THE ANOMALY L Hewitson · K H Ting 4 3.9 1-1/2
5 0 JUMBO FORTUNE Closed strongly H/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz 7 4.7 2
6 0 LEAP OF FAITH Closed strongly V Borges · J Size 3 16.0 2-1/4
7 0 TIANCHI MONSTER K Teetan · W Y So 1 14.0 2-1/2
8 0 TURIN REDSTAR B/TT B Shinn · D J Whyte 8 15.0 4-1/2
9 0 PALACE PAL Closed strongly M L Yeung · T P Yung 10 36.0 5
10 0 SUNSHINE WARRIOR CP/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz 6 19.0 5-1/4
— 0 MEANINGFUL STAR Z Purton · K W Lui — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2022-03-16 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. RED MAJESTY, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by D A Hayes, won by SH, with EVERYONE'S DELIGHT second and GALLANT CROWN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.5 favourite GALLANT CROWN finished 3rd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. RED MAJESTY—2. EVERYONE'S DELIGHT+0.1L3. GALLANT CROWN+0.5L4. THE ANOMALY+1.5L5. JUMBO FORTUNE+2L6. LEAP OF FAITH+2.25L7. TIANCHI MONSTER+2.5L8. TURIN REDSTAR+4.5L9. PALACE PAL+5L10. SUNSHINE WARRIOR+5.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick GALLANT CROWN (22.2%) finished 3rd — the winner RED MAJESTY was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 GALLANT CROWN 22.2% 4.51 3
2 0 JUMBO FORTUNE 18.5% 5.41 5
3 0 RED MAJESTY 11.7% 8.56 1
4 0 EVERYONE'S DELIGHT 10.6% 9.41 2
5 0 TIANCHI MONSTER 9.9% 10.12 7
6 0 LEAP OF FAITH 8.4% 11.87 6
7 0 SUNSHINE WARRIOR 6.9% 14.58 10
8 0 THE ANOMALY 4.7% 21.39 4
9 0 TURIN REDSTAR 4.3% 23.51 8
10 0 PALACE PAL 2.9% 33.99 9
GALLANT CROWNJUMBO FORTUNERED MAJESTY — wonEVERYONE'S DELIGHTTIANCHI MONSTERLEAP OF FAITHSUNSHINE WARRIORTHE ANOMALYTURIN REDSTARPALACE PAL

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

9 113

PLACE

1 28

8 14.5

9 34

QUINELLA

1,9 474

QUINELLA PLACE

1,8 62.5

1,9 129.5

8,9 72

FORECAST

9,1 849

TIERCE

9,1,8 3,635

TRIO

1,8,9 539

FIRST 4

1,8,9,11 414

QUARTET

9,1,8,11 14,629

All pools (5 more)

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A1 —

A2 22.5

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

1,9,10/1,8,9 51,448

8TH DOUBLE

9/1 51

9/9 394.5

SIX UP

7,8/7,8/1,11/3,4/1,9/1,9 5,421

8/7/1/4/9/9 339,549

1 [J Moreira] —

TREBLE

4/9/1 168

4/9/9 1,074