Happy Valley · 2022-03-16 · 22:53
Race 9
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2022-03-16 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. RED MAJESTY, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by D A Hayes, won by SH, with EVERYONE'S DELIGHT second and GALLANT CROWN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.5 favourite GALLANT CROWN finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | RED MAJESTY Closed strongly B/TT 1.39.86 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · D A Hayes | M Chadwick | D A Hayes | 5 | 11.0 | SH |
| 2 | 1 | EVERYONE'S DELIGHT Led early V/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 9 | 9.9 | SH |
| 3 | 8 | GALLANT CROWN Closed strongly B/TT R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 2 | 3.5 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 11 | THE ANOMALY L Hewitson · K H Ting | L Hewitson | K H Ting | 4 | 3.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 2 | JUMBO FORTUNE Closed strongly H/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 7 | 4.7 | 2 |
| 6 | 4 | LEAP OF FAITH Closed strongly V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 3 | 16.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 3 | TIANCHI MONSTER K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 1 | 14.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | TURIN REDSTAR B/TT B Shinn · D J Whyte | B Shinn | D J Whyte | 8 | 15.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | PALACE PAL Closed strongly M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 10 | 36.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 5 | SUNSHINE WARRIOR CP/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 6 | 19.0 | 5-1/4 |
| — | 7 | MEANINGFUL STAR Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | GALLANT CROWN | 22.2% | 4.51 | 3 |
| 2 | 2 | JUMBO FORTUNE | 18.5% | 5.41 | 5 |
| 3 | 9 | RED MAJESTY | 11.7% | 8.56 | 1 |
| 4 | 1 | EVERYONE'S DELIGHT | 10.6% | 9.41 | 2 |
| 5 | 3 | TIANCHI MONSTER | 9.9% | 10.12 | 7 |
| 6 | 4 | LEAP OF FAITH | 8.4% | 11.87 | 6 |
| 7 | 5 | SUNSHINE WARRIOR | 6.9% | 14.58 | 10 |
| 8 | 11 | THE ANOMALY | 4.7% | 21.39 | 4 |
| 9 | 6 | TURIN REDSTAR | 4.3% | 23.51 | 8 |
| 10 | 10 | PALACE PAL | 2.9% | 33.99 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 113
PLACE
1 28
8 14.5
9 34
QUINELLA
1,9 474
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 62.5
1,9 129.5
8,9 72
FORECAST
9,1 849
TIERCE
9,1,8 3,635
TRIO
1,8,9 539
FIRST 4
1,8,9,11 414
QUARTET
9,1,8,11 14,629
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 22.5
A3 —
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,9,10/1,8,9 51,448
8TH DOUBLE
9/1 51
9/9 394.5
SIX UP
7,8/7,8/1,11/3,4/1,9/1,9 5,421
8/7/1/4/9/9 339,549
1 [J Moreira] —
TREBLE
4/9/1 168
4/9/9 1,074