Happy Valley · 2022-03-16 · 21:16
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2022-03-16 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. LIKE THAT, ridden by J Moreira and trained by F C Lor, won by 1-1/4, with FARIBAULT second and JOYFUL GENIUS third. Victory came as the 4.4 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | LIKE THAT V 1.09.98 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 7 | 4.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 11 | FARIBAULT XB K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 2 | 5.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 8 | JOYFUL GENIUS CP Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 12 | 5.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 2 | BINGO BINGO B/TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 4 | 5.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 6 | FIRE BALL B/TT H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 9 | 36.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 5 | FLYING SWORD B/TT L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 5 | 8.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | BELLA BABY XB/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 6 | 12.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 12 | KING'S TROOPER TT R Maia · P F Yiu | R Maia | P F Yiu | 1 | 9.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | TOUCH FAITH V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 3 | 36.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 4 | SO AWESOME B/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 11 | 23.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 3 | JAZZ STEED V1/TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 8 | 28.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 9 | SPLENDID STAR H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 10 | 162.0 | 8 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | JOYFUL GENIUS | 21.4% | 4.67 | 3 |
| 2 | 12 | KING'S TROOPER | 11.9% | 8.37 | 8 |
| 3 | 1 | LIKE THAT | 11.8% | 8.45 | 1 |
| 4 | 11 | FARIBAULT | 10.1% | 9.92 | 2 |
| 5 | 2 | BINGO BINGO | 9.4% | 10.67 | 4 |
| 6 | 5 | FLYING SWORD | 8.5% | 11.78 | 6 |
| 7 | 7 | BELLA BABY | 8.4% | 11.88 | 7 |
| 8 | 4 | SO AWESOME | 5.5% | 18.11 | 10 |
| 9 | 10 | TOUCH FAITH | 4.9% | 20.45 | 9 |
| 10 | 3 | JAZZ STEED | 4.9% | 20.53 | 11 |
| 11 | 6 | FIRE BALL | 2.5% | 39.53 | 5 |
| 12 | 9 | SPLENDID STAR | 0.6% | 164.53 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 44.5
PLACE
1 15.5
8 20.5
11 17.5
QUINELLA
1,11 134.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 42.5
1,11 49.5
8,11 69.5
FORECAST
1,11 179
TIERCE
1,11,8 1,029
TRIO
1,8,11 217
FIRST 4
1,2,8,11 178
QUARTET
1,11,8,2 3,464
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 24.5
A2 —
5TH DOUBLE
7/1 1,159
7/11 202