Happy Valley · 2022-03-16 · 19:46
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | PACKING FAMOUS Closed strongly B/TT 1.49.34 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · C S Shum | J Moreira | C S Shum | 4 | 2.1 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | KING DRAGON Closed strongly V C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 1 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | PERFECT MARYKNOLL Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 10 | 7.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | NATURAL STORM V K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 9 | 9.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | LOYAL AMBITION H/TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 7 | 24.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | WINNING VOLATILITY Closed strongly PC K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 5 | 7.9 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | SMART PATCH B V Borges · P O'Sullivan | V Borges | P O'Sullivan | 2 | 16.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | VICTORIOUS SEEKER B A Hamelin · P O'Sullivan | A Hamelin | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 34.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | GO FOR TEA Led early CP- H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 3 | 8.1 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | SHADOW BREAKER SR/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 6 | 30.0 | 8-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2022-03-16 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. PACKING FAMOUS, ridden by J Moreira and trained by C S Shum, won by 2, with KING DRAGON second and PERFECT MARYKNOLL third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.1 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | PACKING FAMOUS | 24.8% | 4.03 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | PERFECT MARYKNOLL | 24.4% | 4.10 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | WINNING VOLATILITY | 12.7% | 7.87 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | KING DRAGON | 9.6% | 10.44 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | SMART PATCH | 6.5% | 15.44 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | NATURAL STORM | 6.3% | 15.86 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | GO FOR TEA | 6.3% | 15.89 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | VICTORIOUS SEEKER | 4.3% | 23.44 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | LOYAL AMBITION | 2.6% | 38.41 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | SHADOW BREAKER | 2.6% | 38.71 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 21.5
PLACE
1 26
3 11.5
8 24.5
QUINELLA
3,8 83
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 47
1,8 134.5
3,8 34.5
FORECAST
3,8 145
TIERCE
3,8,1 862
TRIO
1,3,8 254
FIRST 4
1,2,3,8 372
QUARTET
3,8,1,2 4,965
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
10/3 102.5
10/8 61.5
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 17
A3 —