沙田 · 2022-03-20 · 17:53
第 10場
2022-03-20沙田第10場，Class 2，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、J Size訓練的BLAZE WARRIOR勝出，贏出1-3/4。KEEP YOU WARM獲得亞軍；NAVAS TWO獲得季軍。頭馬以2.9倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | BLAZE WARRIOR B/TT 1.08.94 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 2 | 2.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 7 | KEEP YOU WARM B/XB A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 9 | 14.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 12 | NAVAS TWO CP R Maia · R Gibson | R Maia | R Gibson | 14 | 5.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 10 | HARMONY N BLESSED BO/XB/TT C L Chau · D A Hayes | C L Chau | D A Hayes | 8 | 72.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 6 | HONG KONG WIN V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 1 | 63.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 13 | WINNER METHOD TT M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 5 | 16.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 9 | GOOD LUCK FRIEND CP K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 10 | 13.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 11 | LUCKY WITH YOU K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 12 | 4.4 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | WINNING DREAMER TT- C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 13 | 51.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 5 | STOLTZ CP Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 7 | 8.2 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 4 | CALIFORNIA RAD B/TT H Bentley · A S Cruz | H Bentley | A S Cruz | 11 | 37.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 14 | ASTROLOGER SR1 M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 3 | 22.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 13 | 3 | HIGHLY PROACTIVE H/P/TT H W Lai · C W Chang | H W Lai | C W Chang | 6 | 165.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 14 | 8 | CLASSIC UNICORN TT K H Chan · W Y So | K H Chan | W Y So | 4 | 232.0 | 8-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | STOLTZ | 24.6% | 4.07 | 10 |
| 2 | 12 | NAVAS TWO | 19.3% | 5.19 | 3 |
| 3 | 2 | BLAZE WARRIOR | 18.0% | 5.57 | 1 |
| 4 | 11 | LUCKY WITH YOU | 9.2% | 10.81 | 8 |
| 5 | 14 | ASTROLOGER | 5.5% | 18.27 | 12 |
| 6 | 10 | HARMONY N BLESSED | 4.2% | 23.68 | 4 |
| 7 | 9 | GOOD LUCK FRIEND | 3.5% | 28.49 | 7 |
| 8 | 1 | WINNING DREAMER | 3.3% | 30.67 | 9 |
| 9 | 13 | WINNER METHOD | 3.2% | 30.85 | 6 |
| 10 | 7 | KEEP YOU WARM | 2.7% | 37.44 | 2 |
| 11 | 4 | CALIFORNIA RAD | 2.3% | 42.76 | 11 |
| 12 | 6 | HONG KONG WIN | 2.1% | 48.49 | 5 |
| 13 | 8 | CLASSIC UNICORN | 1.1% | 87.71 | 14 |
| 14 | 3 | HIGHLY PROACTIVE | 1.0% | 96.45 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 29
PLACE
2 14
7 39
12 20
QUINELLA
2,7 224
QUINELLA PLACE
2,7 78
2,12 44.5
7,12 165
FORECAST
2,7 296
TIERCE
2,7,12 2,368
TRIO
2,7,12 537
FIRST 4
2,7,10,12 8,138
QUARTET
2,7,12,10 90,626
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 19
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,5,11/2,7,12 17,537
9TH DOUBLE
11/2 99
11/7 167.5
SIX UP
3,4/7,8/6,7/1,2/5,11/2,7 532
3/7/7/2/11/2 16,357
2 [Z Purton] —
TREBLE
2/11/2 610
2/11/7 806