沙田 · 2022-03-20 · 14:31
第 4場
2022-03-20沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、J Size訓練的COUNTRY BOY勝出，贏出SH。AMAZING VICTORY獲得亞軍；CHEERY獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.4倍大熱門DURHAM STAR跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | COUNTRY BOY 後段發力 H/P/TT 1.22.65 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 12 | 5.2 | SH |
| 2 | 8 | AMAZING VICTORY 早段領放 H K Teetan · L Ho | K Teetan | L Ho | 11 | 30.0 | SH |
| 3 | 6 | CHEERY 後段發力 J Moreira · P F Yiu | J Moreira | P F Yiu | 10 | 5.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 13 | RED BRICK FIGHTER B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 5 | 8.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 14 | JIANGXI STAMINA 後段發力 B/TT V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 6 | 35.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 12 | DURHAM STAR 後段發力 XB A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 9 | 3.4 | 2 |
| 7 | 10 | MAXIMIZE HEART B M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 7 | 19.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 5 | SPEED FAY FAY B C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 4 | 7.6 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 1 | LIFELINE VISION C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 3 | 10.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 3 | ANGELS HUNTER R Maia · P O'Sullivan | R Maia | P O'Sullivan | 1 | 96.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 11 | CIRCUIT ELITE 後段發力 TT H T Mo · A S Cruz | H T Mo | A S Cruz | 8 | 71.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 9 | BEST FOR YOU B K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 13 | 58.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 13 | 7 | FANTASY B/XB A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 2 | 114.0 | 9 |
| 14 | 2 | STAR OF YUEN LONG B/TT B Shinn · K L Man | B Shinn | K L Man | 14 | 25.0 | 10-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | CHEERY | 18.6% | 5.38 | 3 |
| 2 | 4 | COUNTRY BOY | 13.7% | 7.31 | 1 |
| 3 | 12 | DURHAM STAR | 11.7% | 8.53 | 6 |
| 4 | 1 | LIFELINE VISION | 11.0% | 9.08 | 9 |
| 5 | 5 | SPEED FAY FAY | 8.3% | 11.99 | 8 |
| 6 | 13 | RED BRICK FIGHTER | 7.1% | 14.09 | 4 |
| 7 | 8 | AMAZING VICTORY | 6.7% | 14.82 | 2 |
| 8 | 2 | STAR OF YUEN LONG | 5.7% | 17.42 | 14 |
| 9 | 10 | MAXIMIZE HEART | 5.3% | 18.86 | 7 |
| 10 | 14 | JIANGXI STAMINA | 3.3% | 30.17 | 5 |
| 11 | 9 | BEST FOR YOU | 2.8% | 36.10 | 12 |
| 12 | 7 | FANTASY | 2.5% | 39.40 | 13 |
| 13 | 11 | CIRCUIT ELITE | 2.0% | 50.70 | 11 |
| 14 | 3 | ANGELS HUNTER | 1.2% | 84.73 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 52
PLACE
4 19.5
6 19.5
8 66.5
QUINELLA
4,8 656.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 64.5
4,8 193.5
6,8 177
FORECAST
4,8 1,162
TIERCE
4,8,6 5,243
TRIO
4,6,8 751
FIRST 4
4,6,8,13 3,192
QUARTET
4,8,6,13 88,006
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,7,11/4,6,8 43,680
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 24
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE
7/4 369
7/8 207