Sha Tin · 2022-03-20 · 14:31
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | COUNTRY BOY Closed strongly H/P/TT 1.22.65 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 12 | 5.2 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | AMAZING VICTORY Led early H K Teetan · L Ho | K Teetan | L Ho | 11 | 30.0 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | CHEERY Closed strongly J Moreira · P F Yiu | J Moreira | P F Yiu | 10 | 5.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | RED BRICK FIGHTER B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 5 | 8.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | JIANGXI STAMINA Closed strongly B/TT V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 6 | 35.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | DURHAM STAR Closed strongly XB A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 9 | 3.4 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | MAXIMIZE HEART B M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 7 | 19.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | SPEED FAY FAY B C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 4 | 7.6 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | LIFELINE VISION C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 3 | 10.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | ANGELS HUNTER R Maia · P O'Sullivan | R Maia | P O'Sullivan | 1 | 96.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | CIRCUIT ELITE Closed strongly TT H T Mo · A S Cruz | H T Mo | A S Cruz | 8 | 71.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 0 | BEST FOR YOU B K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 13 | 58.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | FANTASY B/XB A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 2 | 114.0 | 9 |
| 14 | 0 | STAR OF YUEN LONG B/TT B Shinn · K L Man | B Shinn | K L Man | 14 | 25.0 | 10-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2022-03-20 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. COUNTRY BOY, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Size, won by SH, with AMAZING VICTORY second and CHEERY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.4 favourite DURHAM STAR finished 6th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CHEERY | 18.6% | 5.38 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | COUNTRY BOY | 13.7% | 7.31 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | DURHAM STAR | 11.7% | 8.53 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | LIFELINE VISION | 11.0% | 9.08 | 9 |
| 5 | 0 | SPEED FAY FAY | 8.3% | 11.99 | 8 |
| 6 | 0 | RED BRICK FIGHTER | 7.1% | 14.09 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | AMAZING VICTORY | 6.7% | 14.82 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | STAR OF YUEN LONG | 5.7% | 17.42 | 14 |
| 9 | 0 | MAXIMIZE HEART | 5.3% | 18.86 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | JIANGXI STAMINA | 3.3% | 30.17 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | BEST FOR YOU | 2.8% | 36.10 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | FANTASY | 2.5% | 39.40 | 13 |
| 13 | 0 | CIRCUIT ELITE | 2.0% | 50.70 | 11 |
| 14 | 0 | ANGELS HUNTER | 1.2% | 84.73 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 52
PLACE
4 19.5
6 19.5
8 66.5
QUINELLA
4,8 656.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 64.5
4,8 193.5
6,8 177
FORECAST
4,8 1,162
TIERCE
4,8,6 5,243
TRIO
4,6,8 751
FIRST 4
4,6,8,13 3,192
QUARTET
4,8,6,13 88,006
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,7,11/4,6,8 43,680
3 PICK 1
A2 24
A1 —
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE
7/4 369
7/8 207