Sha Tin · 2022-03-20 · 13:31
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2022-03-20 was Class 4 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. RUN RUN COOL, ridden by Z Purton and trained by F C Lor, won by 4-3/4, with GOOD NEWS second and HAPPY TRIO third. The 2.0 favourite LUCKY GOR finished 8th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | RUN RUN COOL B-/H-/PC1 0.56.93 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 1 | 5.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 2 | 2 | GOOD NEWS CP/TT K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 9 | 13.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 3 | 9 | HAPPY TRIO SR1 L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 3 | 113.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 4 | 12 | SWEET DIAMOND M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 4 | 5.5 | 4-3/4 |
| 5 | 8 | GLENEALY GENERALS B H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 6 | 19.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | KOWLOON EAST STAR H/SR/TT R Maia · K H Ting | R Maia | K H Ting | 2 | 25.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 7 | 13 | MEDIC ELITE B1/TT1 M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 7 | 166.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | LUCKY GOR H/P J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 5 | 2.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 9 | 14 | FORTUNE MARBO B/TT1 H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 10 | 251.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 10 | 7 | FELIX THE KING CP1 M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 13 | 136.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | MIRACLES A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 14 | 25.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 6 | DIAMOND SOARS C L Chau · A T Millard | C L Chau | A T Millard | 8 | 56.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 13 | 10 | LE PLUS VITE CP1 B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 11 | 12.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 14 | 5 | BRILLIANT EIGHT C Y Ho · Y S Tsui | C Y Ho | Y S Tsui | 12 | 74.0 | 12-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | LUCKY GOR | 28.7% | 3.48 | 8 |
| 2 | 1 | RUN RUN COOL | 23.5% | 4.25 | 1 |
| 3 | 3 | KOWLOON EAST STAR | 12.5% | 7.97 | 6 |
| 4 | 2 | GOOD NEWS | 9.3% | 10.76 | 2 |
| 5 | 8 | GLENEALY GENERALS | 5.6% | 17.92 | 5 |
| 6 | 12 | SWEET DIAMOND | 4.4% | 22.63 | 4 |
| 7 | 6 | DIAMOND SOARS | 4.4% | 22.72 | 12 |
| 8 | 5 | BRILLIANT EIGHT | 3.0% | 33.18 | 14 |
| 9 | 11 | MIRACLES | 3.0% | 33.20 | 11 |
| 10 | 10 | LE PLUS VITE | 2.2% | 45.47 | 13 |
| 11 | 9 | HAPPY TRIO | 1.2% | 84.82 | 3 |
| 12 | 13 | MEDIC ELITE | 1.1% | 87.22 | 7 |
| 13 | 14 | FORTUNE MARBO | 0.5% | 199.07 | 9 |
| 14 | 7 | FELIX THE KING | 0.4% | 237.74 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 50
PLACE
1 17
2 37
9 197.5
QUINELLA
1,2 267.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 79
1,9 486
2,9 1,055.5
FORECAST
1,2 432
TIERCE
1,2,9 25,549
TRIO
1,2,9 6,696
FIRST 4
1,2,9,12 7,440
QUARTET
1,2,9,12 208,763
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
5/1 278
5/2 95
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 14.5