Sha Tin · 2022-03-20 · 13:02
Race 1
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2022-03-20 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. ETERNAL BLOOM, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by P F Yiu, won by SH, with ERIMO second and STARRY NIGHT third. The 4.4 favourite ERIMO finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | ETERNAL BLOOM 1.10.01 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 1 | 7.3 | SH |
| 2 | 4 | ERIMO H1 J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 3 | 4.4 | SH |
| 3 | 7 | STARRY NIGHT Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 9 | 5.3 | N |
| 4 | 1 | PROSECCO A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 6 | 13.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 14 | ISLAND SURPRISE TT1 M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 4 | 8.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 9 | FORTUNE CARRIER D Moor · C S Shum | D Moor | C S Shum | 5 | 8.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 7 | 11 | IRON KING TT L Hewitson · C H Yip | L Hewitson | C H Yip | 2 | 19.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 6 | RATTAN KINGDOM H1/TT R Maia · R Gibson | R Maia | R Gibson | 11 | 68.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | AURORA HERO B Shinn · P O'Sullivan | B Shinn | P O'Sullivan | 12 | 138.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 2 | ELIGERE B K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 10 | 7.7 | 4 |
| 11 | 13 | THE GOOD DEAL B-/XB1/TT- A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 13 | 150.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 10 | SUPER HIGHWAY CP1/TT1 H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 7 | 8.4 | 4-3/4 |
| 13 | 12 | SUPER HORNET SR/B1/TT M F Poon · D J Whyte | M F Poon | D J Whyte | 14 | 42.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 14 | 8 | CIRCUIT SPLENDOR H/P1/XB1 H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 8 | 112.0 | 8-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | ERIMO | 23.1% | 4.33 | 2 |
| 2 | 7 | STARRY NIGHT | 19.3% | 5.17 | 3 |
| 3 | 5 | ETERNAL BLOOM | 15.0% | 6.67 | 1 |
| 4 | 9 | FORTUNE CARRIER | 8.9% | 11.27 | 6 |
| 5 | 10 | SUPER HIGHWAY | 7.3% | 13.78 | 12 |
| 6 | 14 | ISLAND SURPRISE | 7.1% | 14.00 | 5 |
| 7 | 11 | IRON KING | 5.2% | 19.13 | 7 |
| 8 | 2 | ELIGERE | 4.7% | 21.16 | 10 |
| 9 | 1 | PROSECCO | 3.4% | 29.62 | 4 |
| 10 | 6 | RATTAN KINGDOM | 2.3% | 43.37 | 8 |
| 11 | 12 | SUPER HORNET | 1.6% | 62.86 | 13 |
| 12 | 8 | CIRCUIT SPLENDOR | 0.7% | 143.99 | 14 |
| 13 | 13 | THE GOOD DEAL | 0.7% | 144.88 | 11 |
| 14 | 3 | AURORA HERO | 0.7% | 150.08 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 73.5
PLACE
4 21
5 20.5
7 22.5
QUINELLA
4,5 232
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 77.5
4,7 64
5,7 105
FORECAST
5,4 314
TIERCE
5,4,7 2,320
TRIO
4,5,7 447
FIRST 4
1,4,5,7 1,041
QUARTET
5,4,7,1 24,596
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 22