Sha Tin · 2022-03-20 · 15:04
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | RISE BRETHREN Closed strongly TT 2.02.79 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 1 | 3.5 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | COPARTNER ELITES Closed strongly CP1/TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 7 | 16.0 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | SUPERBELLA Closed strongly B/TT B Shinn · F C Lor | B Shinn | F C Lor | 6 | 10.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | FLYING TURBO B L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 3 | 32.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | ENZEMBLE Led early H/XB/TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 2 | 42.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | BLASTOISE L Ferraris · A T Millard | L Ferraris | A T Millard | 13 | 30.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | HELENE ALLIBOR CP/TT D Moor · D A Hayes | D Moor | D A Hayes | 9 | 51.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | CHAMPION PAL Closed strongly B M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 14.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | VINCY SR/TT H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 4 | 20.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | ABOVE Closed strongly B/TT R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 10 | 25.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | ENSURED Closed strongly A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 11 | 6.7 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | FIVE G PATCH Closed strongly TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 12 | 14.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | HAPPY ANGEL CP H W Lai · D A Hayes | H W Lai | D A Hayes | 14 | 92.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 14 | 0 | BOOM ALLIANCE SR/TT J Moreira · D J Whyte | J Moreira | D J Whyte | 8 | 3.6 | 11-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2022-03-20 was Class 3 over 2000m, run on GOOD going. RISE BRETHREN, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C S Shum, won by SH, with COPARTNER ELITES second and SUPERBELLA third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.5 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | RISE BRETHREN | 34.8% | 2.87 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | BOOM ALLIANCE | 15.5% | 6.47 | 14 |
| 3 | 0 | CHAMPION PAL | 15.0% | 6.66 | 8 |
| 4 | 0 | ABOVE | 8.0% | 12.45 | 10 |
| 5 | 0 | COPARTNER ELITES | 4.9% | 20.31 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | VINCY | 4.4% | 22.65 | 9 |
| 7 | 0 | SUPERBELLA | 3.3% | 30.19 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | FIVE G PATCH | 3.2% | 30.87 | 12 |
| 9 | 0 | ENSURED | 2.8% | 35.41 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | BLASTOISE | 2.4% | 41.72 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | ENZEMBLE | 2.4% | 42.12 | 5 |
| 12 | 0 | HELENE ALLIBOR | 2.3% | 43.49 | 7 |
| 13 | 0 | FLYING TURBO | 0.5% | 186.96 | 4 |
| 14 | 0 | HAPPY ANGEL | 0.3% | 290.93 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 35
PLACE
2 32
3 14
4 47
QUINELLA
3,4 245.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 71
2,4 293
3,4 91
FORECAST
3,4 583
TIERCE
3,4,2 3,382
TRIO
2,3,4 728
FIRST 4
2,3,4,8 5,561
QUARTET
3,4,2,8 58,632
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 18
4TH DOUBLE
4/3 173
4/4 184.5