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Sha Tin · 2022-03-20 · 16:08

Race 7

Class 3 GOOD 1200m Course A 10 runners

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2022-03-20 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. BUZZINGA, ridden by K Teetan and trained by A S Cruz, won by 2, with VOYAGE BUBBLE second and THE HULK third. The 1.4 favourite VOYAGE BUBBLE finished 2nd.

Result

Official · 1.08.92
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 7 BUZZINGA TT1 1.08.92 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · A S Cruz 4 6.0 2
2 6 VOYAGE BUBBLE Z Purton · P F Yiu 5 1.4 2
3 2 THE HULK B Shinn · C Fownes 3 50.0 3
4 4 READY TO WIN CP/XB/TT K C Leung · F C Lor 2 15.0 3-1/2
5 5 PINS PRINCE H/P/TT J Moreira · J Size 10 12.0 4-3/4
6 8 RIVER VIEWS TT L Hewitson · T P Yung 6 91.0 6
7 10 WE ARE HERO M Chadwick · K L Man 8 74.0 8
8 3 HERE COMES TED B/TT L Ferraris · D J Hall 1 18.0 8-1/4
9 9 TRUST ME B/H V Borges · C H Yip 9 9.9 10-1/4
10 1 MOONLIGHT VISTA B- M F Poon · C S Shum 7 123.0 15-3/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. BUZZINGA2. VOYAGE BUBBLE+2L3. THE HULK+3L4. READY TO WIN+3.5L5. PINS PRINCE+4.75L6. RIVER VIEWS+6L7. WE ARE HERO+8L8. HERE COMES TED+8.25L9. TRUST ME+10.25L10. MOONLIGHT VISTA+15.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick VOYAGE BUBBLE (45.1%) finished 2nd — the winner BUZZINGA was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 6 VOYAGE BUBBLE 45.1% 2.22 2
2 5 PINS PRINCE 20.6% 4.86 5
3 3 HERE COMES TED 7.3% 13.75 8
4 7 BUZZINGA 7.3% 13.77 1
5 4 READY TO WIN 6.9% 14.55 4
6 9 TRUST ME 5.7% 17.67 9
7 2 THE HULK 3.1% 31.82 3
8 10 WE ARE HERO 2.2% 45.70 7
9 1 MOONLIGHT VISTA 1.3% 76.83 10
10 8 RIVER VIEWS 0.6% 154.17 6
VOYAGE BUBBLEPINS PRINCEHERE COMES TEDBUZZINGA — wonREADY TO WINTRUST METHE HULKWE ARE HEROMOONLIGHT VISTARIVER VIEWS

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 60

PLACE

2 75.5

6 11

7 17

QUINELLA

6,7 33.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,6 92

2,7 223.5

6,7 18.5

FORECAST

7,6 138

TIERCE

7,6,2 1,714

TRIO

2,6,7 284

FIRST 4

2,4,6,7 546

QUARTET

7,6,2,4 12,516

All pools (3 more)

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

7,8,13/2,6,7 68,419

3 PICK 1

A3

A2

A1 11.5

6TH DOUBLE

7/6 10.5

7/7 101.5