Sha Tin · 2022-03-20 · 16:43
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ROMANTIC WARRIOR Closed strongly TT 2.00.23 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 8 | 3.7 | HD |
| 2 | 0 | CALIFORNIA SPANGLE Led early TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 10 | 2.4 | HD |
| 3 | 0 | MONEY CATCHER K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 9 | 35.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | SENOR TOBA Closed strongly B1/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 3 | 4.8 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | THE IRISHMAN Closed strongly H/TT B Shinn · K W Lui | B Shinn | K W Lui | 13 | 16.0 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | TURIN REDSUN Closed strongly SR/TT A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 6 | 8.0 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | CROSSFORD Closed strongly H/P V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 1 | 52.0 | 10 |
| 8 | 0 | FA FA Closed strongly TT H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 4 | 93.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | NORDIC SKY Closed strongly SR/XB A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 14 | 235.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | CHAMPION DRAGON H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 2 | 81.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | IMA SINGLE MAN B-/H/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 7 | 84.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | MR ASCENDENCY B1 L Ferraris · P F Yiu | L Ferraris | P F Yiu | 11 | 207.0 | 18-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | ROCKET SPADE XB/B1/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 5 | 26.0 | 23 |
| 14 | 0 | S J TOURBILLON R Maia · P F Yiu | R Maia | P F Yiu | 12 | 93.0 | 27 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2022-03-20 was 4YO over 2000m, run on GOOD going. ROMANTIC WARRIOR, ridden by K Teetan and trained by C S Shum, won by HD, with CALIFORNIA SPANGLE second and MONEY CATCHER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.4 favourite CALIFORNIA SPANGLE finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CALIFORNIA SPANGLE | 24.6% | 4.07 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | SENOR TOBA | 21.3% | 4.69 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | ROMANTIC WARRIOR | 16.9% | 5.92 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | CROSSFORD | 7.9% | 12.72 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | TURIN REDSUN | 7.3% | 13.66 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | MONEY CATCHER | 4.9% | 20.39 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | CHAMPION DRAGON | 4.6% | 21.63 | 10 |
| 8 | 0 | THE IRISHMAN | 3.2% | 31.37 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | IMA SINGLE MAN | 3.0% | 33.27 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | ROCKET SPADE | 2.1% | 48.43 | 13 |
| 11 | 0 | FA FA | 1.5% | 66.16 | 8 |
| 12 | 0 | NORDIC SKY | 1.3% | 77.81 | 9 |
| 13 | 0 | S J TOURBILLON | 0.8% | 121.23 | 14 |
| 14 | 0 | MR ASCENDENCY | 0.6% | 154.27 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 37.5
PLACE
1 12
2 14.5
8 56.5
QUINELLA
1,2 39.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 21.5
1,8 115.5
2,8 134.5
FORECAST
2,1 97
TIERCE
2,1,8 1,141
TRIO
1,2,8 291
FIRST 4
1,2,6,8 283
QUARTET
2,1,8,6 5,900
All pools (3 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 25.5
A2 —
A3 —
7TH DOUBLE
7/1 34
7/2 162
WINNING TRAINER
B3 —
B4 20.5
B1 —
B2 —