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Sha Tin · 2022-03-20 · 17:18

Race 9

Class 3 GOOD 1400m Course A 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.21.95
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 GOLDEN EMPIRE Closed strongly 1.21.95 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) R Maia · K W Lui 11 4.2 SH
2 0 ROYAL BOMB Closed strongly CP/TT B Shinn · C Fownes 9 16.0 SH
3 0 SAUVESTRE Closed strongly TT Z Purton · F C Lor 14 4.1 N
4 0 GOD OF DRAGON Closed strongly B/XB L Ferraris · D J Whyte 12 60.0 3-1/4
5 0 CALIFORNIA SKY Led early TT K Teetan · A S Cruz 7 7.7 3-1/4
6 0 MASSIVE ACTION B-/V1 K C Leung · F C Lor 10 6.1 3-1/2
7 0 TEXAS MOON Closed strongly P D Moor · T P Yung 2 10.0 3-3/4
8 0 HEZA BEAUTY Closed strongly B/E J Moreira · J Size 5 17.0 4-1/2
9 0 RACING FIGHTER B-/TT A Hamelin · C H Yip 3 77.0 4-3/4
10 0 KOWLOON GREAT Closed strongly TT M L Yeung · C S Shum 13 51.0 4-3/4
11 0 FAST PACE H K H Chan · C Fownes 1 37.0 5-1/4
12 0 MR VALIANT H1/XB1 L Hewitson · A T Millard 8 32.0 5-3/4
13 0 COMPASSION SPIRIT B M Chadwick · K L Man 6 9.7 6-3/4
14 0 SIMPLY FLUKE XB-/B A Badel · D J Whyte 4 54.0 9

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2022-03-20 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. GOLDEN EMPIRE, ridden by R Maia and trained by K W Lui, won by SH, with ROYAL BOMB second and SAUVESTRE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.1 favourite SAUVESTRE finished 3rd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. GOLDEN EMPIRE—2. ROYAL BOMB+0.1L3. SAUVESTRE+0.05L4. GOD OF DRAGON+3.25L5. CALIFORNIA SKY+3.25L6. MASSIVE ACTION+3.5L7. TEXAS MOON+3.75L8. HEZA BEAUTY+4.5L9. RACING FIGHTER+4.75L10. KOWLOON GREAT+4.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick SAUVESTRE (21.3%) finished 3rd — the winner GOLDEN EMPIRE was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 SAUVESTRE 21.3% 4.71 3
2 0 CALIFORNIA SKY 16.1% 6.20 5
3 0 GOLDEN EMPIRE 14.1% 7.09 1
4 0 COMPASSION SPIRIT 7.8% 12.82 13
5 0 MASSIVE ACTION 7.2% 13.87 6
6 0 TEXAS MOON 6.3% 15.90 7
7 0 FAST PACE 6.2% 16.22 11
8 0 HEZA BEAUTY 5.7% 17.58 8
9 0 ROYAL BOMB 4.6% 21.70 2
10 0 SIMPLY FLUKE 3.8% 26.39 14
11 0 KOWLOON GREAT 3.1% 32.17 10
12 0 GOD OF DRAGON 1.7% 60.10 4
13 0 RACING FIGHTER 1.2% 82.35 9
14 0 MR VALIANT 1.0% 101.04 12
SAUVESTRECALIFORNIA SKYGOLDEN EMPIRE — wonCOMPASSION SPIRITMASSIVE ACTIONTEXAS MOONFAST PACEHEZA BEAUTYROYAL BOMBSIMPLY FLUKEKOWLOON GREATGOD OF DRAGONRACING FIGHTERMR VALIANT

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

11 42

PLACE

1 17

5 45.5

11 17

QUINELLA

5,11 309.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,5 116.5

1,11 37.5

5,11 106.5

FORECAST

11,5 539

TIERCE

11,5,1 2,835

TRIO

1,5,11 371

FIRST 4

1,5,10,11 3,293

QUARTET

11,5,1,10 46,672

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A1 —

A3 —

A2 22

8TH DOUBLE

2/5 87.5

2/11 142.5