Sha Tin · 2022-03-20 · 17:18
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2022-03-20 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. GOLDEN EMPIRE, ridden by R Maia and trained by K W Lui, won by SH, with ROYAL BOMB second and SAUVESTRE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.1 favourite SAUVESTRE finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | GOLDEN EMPIRE Closed strongly 1.21.95 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 11 | 4.2 | SH |
| 2 | 5 | ROYAL BOMB Closed strongly CP/TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 9 | 16.0 | SH |
| 3 | 1 | SAUVESTRE Closed strongly TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 14 | 4.1 | N |
| 4 | 10 | GOD OF DRAGON Closed strongly B/XB L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 12 | 60.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | CALIFORNIA SKY Led early TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 7 | 7.7 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 12 | MASSIVE ACTION B-/V1 K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 10 | 6.1 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 6 | TEXAS MOON Closed strongly P D Moor · T P Yung | D Moor | T P Yung | 2 | 10.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 3 | HEZA BEAUTY Closed strongly B/E J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 5 | 17.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | RACING FIGHTER B-/TT A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 3 | 77.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 14 | KOWLOON GREAT Closed strongly TT M L Yeung · C S Shum | M L Yeung | C S Shum | 13 | 51.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 13 | FAST PACE H K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 1 | 37.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 4 | MR VALIANT H1/XB1 L Hewitson · A T Millard | L Hewitson | A T Millard | 8 | 32.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 13 | 8 | COMPASSION SPIRIT B M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 6 | 9.7 | 6-3/4 |
| 14 | 2 | SIMPLY FLUKE XB-/B A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 4 | 54.0 | 9 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SAUVESTRE | 21.3% | 4.71 | 3 |
| 2 | 9 | CALIFORNIA SKY | 16.1% | 6.20 | 5 |
| 3 | 11 | GOLDEN EMPIRE | 14.1% | 7.09 | 1 |
| 4 | 8 | COMPASSION SPIRIT | 7.8% | 12.82 | 13 |
| 5 | 12 | MASSIVE ACTION | 7.2% | 13.87 | 6 |
| 6 | 6 | TEXAS MOON | 6.3% | 15.90 | 7 |
| 7 | 13 | FAST PACE | 6.2% | 16.22 | 11 |
| 8 | 3 | HEZA BEAUTY | 5.7% | 17.58 | 8 |
| 9 | 5 | ROYAL BOMB | 4.6% | 21.70 | 2 |
| 10 | 2 | SIMPLY FLUKE | 3.8% | 26.39 | 14 |
| 11 | 14 | KOWLOON GREAT | 3.1% | 32.17 | 10 |
| 12 | 10 | GOD OF DRAGON | 1.7% | 60.10 | 4 |
| 13 | 7 | RACING FIGHTER | 1.2% | 82.35 | 9 |
| 14 | 4 | MR VALIANT | 1.0% | 101.04 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 42
PLACE
1 17
5 45.5
11 17
QUINELLA
5,11 309.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 116.5
1,11 37.5
5,11 106.5
FORECAST
11,5 539
TIERCE
11,5,1 2,835
TRIO
1,5,11 371
FIRST 4
1,5,10,11 3,293
QUARTET
11,5,1,10 46,672
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 22
A3 —
8TH DOUBLE
2/5 87.5
2/11 142.5