Sha Tin · 2022-03-20 · 14:01
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | TOYCOON Closed strongly CP 1.35.30 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · P F Yiu | J Moreira | P F Yiu | 13 | 4.5 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | BEAUTY SPIRIT Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 9 | 6.3 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | CORDYCEPS TWO Closed strongly V Borges · C H Yip | V Borges | C H Yip | 10 | 18.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | SUNNY DELIGHT Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 14 | 12.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | GREAT TREASURE Closed strongly H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 4 | 55.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | STAR CONTACT B/TT B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 3 | 3.2 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | CITY LEGEND Closed strongly B/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 6 | 23.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | NICHOLSON RETURNS Closed strongly B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 12 | 34.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | AMAZING TEENS P-/H/TT Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 7 | 14.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | VUKAN B/XB M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 11 | 10.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | JOYFUL HEART B/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 8 | 25.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | BRIGHT KID Closed strongly B/XB H W Lai · W Y So | H W Lai | W Y So | 2 | 20.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | STRATHMORETOO B1 L Hewitson · A T Millard | L Hewitson | A T Millard | 5 | 37.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 14 | 0 | EMBARKED Led early B/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 1 | 50.0 | 14-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2022-03-20 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. TOYCOON, ridden by J Moreira and trained by P F Yiu, won by 3/4, with BEAUTY SPIRIT second and CORDYCEPS TWO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.2 favourite STAR CONTACT finished 6th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | AMAZING TEENS | 18.7% | 5.36 | 9 |
| 2 | 0 | STAR CONTACT | 18.5% | 5.40 | 6 |
| 3 | 0 | TOYCOON | 17.8% | 5.61 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | SUNNY DELIGHT | 11.4% | 8.78 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | EMBARKED | 5.3% | 18.84 | 14 |
| 6 | 0 | VUKAN | 5.1% | 19.69 | 10 |
| 7 | 0 | CITY LEGEND | 4.5% | 22.03 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | JOYFUL HEART | 4.3% | 23.50 | 11 |
| 9 | 0 | BEAUTY SPIRIT | 4.0% | 24.94 | 2 |
| 10 | 0 | CORDYCEPS TWO | 3.4% | 29.22 | 3 |
| 11 | 0 | NICHOLSON RETURNS | 2.6% | 38.14 | 8 |
| 12 | 0 | STRATHMORETOO | 2.2% | 45.15 | 13 |
| 13 | 0 | GREAT TREASURE | 1.4% | 69.96 | 5 |
| 14 | 0 | BRIGHT KID | 0.7% | 143.71 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 45.5
PLACE
2 24.5
7 18.5
11 51
QUINELLA
2,7 208
QUINELLA PLACE
2,7 78.5
2,11 186.5
7,11 160
FORECAST
7,2 478
TIERCE
7,2,11 5,541
TRIO
2,7,11 882
FIRST 4
2,7,10,11 2,482
QUARTET
7,2,11,10 43,417
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
1/2 57.5
1/7 356.5
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 26