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Sha Tin · 2022-03-20 · 15:36

Race 6

Class 3 GOOD 1600m Course A 13 runners

Result

Official · 1.34.58
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 RUNNING GLORY Closed strongly 1.34.58 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · J Size 12 2.1 3/4
2 0 SUPER WINNER Led early TT C Wong · C H Yip 5 24.0 3/4
3 0 LET'S DO IT Closed strongly L Hewitson · D J Hall 2 19.0 1
4 0 LOOKING COOL Closed strongly CP M F Poon · F C Lor 1 25.0 2-1/4
5 0 ZOOM BOOM B A Badel · D J Whyte 7 9.0 2-3/4
6 0 CHARITY GRACE Closed strongly B K Teetan · C S Shum 6 5.4 3-1/4
7 0 ENTRUSTED Closed strongly CP/TT B Shinn · W Y So 3 124.0 3-3/4
8 0 MAJESTIC VICTORY TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz 11 18.0 4-1/4
9 0 NOTHING IMPOSSIBLE Z Purton · K W Lui 4 9.6 4-1/2
10 0 PRIME MINISTER Closed strongly TT K C Leung · P F Yiu 14 15.0 5-1/4
11 0 PERFECT TO GREAT B C Y Ho · C Fownes 8 38.0 5-3/4
12 0 CONGRATULATION B2/TT1 C L Chau · D A Hayes 10 93.0 8-3/4
13 0 COBHFIELD SR/TT R Maia · A T Millard 13 31.0 15
— 0 A LA KING B/TT H Bentley · K H Ting 9 114.0 —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2022-03-20 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. RUNNING GLORY, ridden by J Moreira and trained by J Size, won by 3/4, with SUPER WINNER second and LET'S DO IT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.1 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. RUNNING GLORY—2. SUPER WINNER+0.75L3. LET'S DO IT+1L4. LOOKING COOL+2.25L5. ZOOM BOOM+2.75L6. CHARITY GRACE+3.25L7. ENTRUSTED+3.75L8. MAJESTIC VICTORY+4.25L9. NOTHING IMPOSSIBLE+4.5L10. PRIME MINISTER+5.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick RUNNING GLORY (23.9%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 RUNNING GLORY 23.9% 4.18 1
2 0 NOTHING IMPOSSIBLE 14.5% 6.89 9
3 0 CHARITY GRACE 13.3% 7.51 6
4 0 ZOOM BOOM 10.5% 9.51 5
5 0 PRIME MINISTER 7.8% 12.81 10
6 0 LOOKING COOL 6.4% 15.57 4
7 0 SUPER WINNER 6.3% 15.76 2
8 0 LET'S DO IT 4.4% 22.67 3
9 0 MAJESTIC VICTORY 3.2% 30.77 8
10 0 CONGRATULATION 2.9% 34.04 12
11 0 ENTRUSTED 2.4% 42.41 7
12 0 PERFECT TO GREAT 2.3% 42.75 11
13 0 COBHFIELD 1.9% 53.89 13
RUNNING GLORY — wonNOTHING IMPOSSIBLECHARITY GRACEZOOM BOOMPRIME MINISTERLOOKING COOLSUPER WINNERLET'S DO ITMAJESTIC VICTORYCONGRATULATIONENTRUSTEDPERFECT TO GREATCOBHFIELD

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 21

PLACE

7 10.5

8 59

13 48.5

QUINELLA

7,8 235

QUINELLA PLACE

7,8 77

7,13 85

8,13 378

FORECAST

7,8 336

TIERCE

7,8,13 3,033

TRIO

7,8,13 1,186

FIRST 4

7,8,13,14 1,768

QUARTET

7,8,13,14 20,382

All pools (4 more)

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A3 —

A1 17

5TH DOUBLE

3/7 89

3/8 191

TRIPLE TRIO

4,6,8/2,3,4/7,8,13 27,604,000

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

4,6,8/2,3,4/Any Combination 8,057