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Sha Tin · 2022-03-20 · 15:36

Race 6

Class 3 GOOD 1600m Course A 13 runners

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2022-03-20 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. RUNNING GLORY, ridden by J Moreira and trained by J Size, won by 3/4, with SUPER WINNER second and LET'S DO IT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.1 favourite.

Result

Official · 1.34.58
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 7 RUNNING GLORY Closed strongly 1.34.58 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · J Size 12 2.1 3/4
2 8 SUPER WINNER Led early TT C Wong · C H Yip 5 24.0 3/4
3 13 LET'S DO IT Closed strongly L Hewitson · D J Hall 2 19.0 1
4 14 LOOKING COOL Closed strongly CP M F Poon · F C Lor 1 25.0 2-1/4
5 9 ZOOM BOOM B A Badel · D J Whyte 7 9.0 2-3/4
6 3 CHARITY GRACE Closed strongly B K Teetan · C S Shum 6 5.4 3-1/4
7 5 ENTRUSTED Closed strongly CP/TT B Shinn · W Y So 3 124.0 3-3/4
8 6 MAJESTIC VICTORY TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz 11 18.0 4-1/4
9 11 NOTHING IMPOSSIBLE Z Purton · K W Lui 4 9.6 4-1/2
10 4 PRIME MINISTER Closed strongly TT K C Leung · P F Yiu 14 15.0 5-1/4
11 12 PERFECT TO GREAT B C Y Ho · C Fownes 8 38.0 5-3/4
12 1 CONGRATULATION B2/TT1 C L Chau · D A Hayes 10 93.0 8-3/4
13 2 COBHFIELD SR/TT R Maia · A T Millard 13 31.0 15
10 A LA KING B/TT H Bentley · K H Ting 9 114.0

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. RUNNING GLORY2. SUPER WINNER+0.75L3. LET'S DO IT+1L4. LOOKING COOL+2.25L5. ZOOM BOOM+2.75L6. CHARITY GRACE+3.25L7. ENTRUSTED+3.75L8. MAJESTIC VICTORY+4.25L9. NOTHING IMPOSSIBLE+4.5L10. PRIME MINISTER+5.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick RUNNING GLORY (23.9%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 7 RUNNING GLORY 23.9% 4.18 1
2 11 NOTHING IMPOSSIBLE 14.5% 6.89 9
3 3 CHARITY GRACE 13.3% 7.51 6
4 9 ZOOM BOOM 10.5% 9.51 5
5 4 PRIME MINISTER 7.8% 12.81 10
6 14 LOOKING COOL 6.4% 15.57 4
7 8 SUPER WINNER 6.3% 15.76 2
8 13 LET'S DO IT 4.4% 22.67 3
9 6 MAJESTIC VICTORY 3.2% 30.77 8
10 1 CONGRATULATION 2.9% 34.04 12
11 5 ENTRUSTED 2.4% 42.41 7
12 12 PERFECT TO GREAT 2.3% 42.75 11
13 2 COBHFIELD 1.9% 53.89 13
RUNNING GLORY — wonNOTHING IMPOSSIBLECHARITY GRACEZOOM BOOMPRIME MINISTERLOOKING COOLSUPER WINNERLET'S DO ITMAJESTIC VICTORYCONGRATULATIONENTRUSTEDPERFECT TO GREATCOBHFIELD

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 21

PLACE

7 10.5

8 59

13 48.5

QUINELLA

7,8 235

QUINELLA PLACE

7,8 77

7,13 85

8,13 378

FORECAST

7,8 336

TIERCE

7,8,13 3,033

TRIO

7,8,13 1,186

FIRST 4

7,8,13,14 1,768

QUARTET

7,8,13,14 20,382

All pools (4 more)

3 PICK 1

A3

A2

A1 17

5TH DOUBLE

3/7 89

3/8 191

TRIPLE TRIO

4,6,8/2,3,4/7,8,13 27,604,000

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

4,6,8/2,3,4/Any Combination 8,057