沙田 · 2022-03-30 · 20:47
第 4場
2022-03-30沙田第4場，Class 5，途程1200米，跑道評為FAST。由C Y Ho策騎、Y S Tsui訓練的MASTERWORK勝出，贏出1/2。WISDOM PATCH獲得亞軍；WINNING STRIKES獲得季軍。3.4倍大熱門WISDOM PATCH跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | MASTERWORK 1.09.10 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · Y S Tsui | C Y Ho | Y S Tsui | 6 | 9.9 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 2 | WISDOM PATCH PC/TT Z Purton · P O'Sullivan | Z Purton | P O'Sullivan | 4 | 3.4 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 12 | WINNING STRIKES B-/PC1 M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 8 | 20.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 8 | STAR OF RED B/TT D Moor · T P Yung | D Moor | T P Yung | 1 | 34.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 9 | REGENCY GEM B/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 5 | 6.8 | 2 |
| 6 | 11 | GOLDEN MISSION B M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 2 | 5.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | JADE THEATRE B K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 3 | 18.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 3 | BEAUTY CHEERS A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 7 | 19.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | TREASURE OF FIELD B/TT A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 11 | 56.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 1 | CHIKORITA B Shinn · R Gibson | B Shinn | R Gibson | 10 | 93.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 6 | FORTUNE HAPPINESS V J Moreira · K W Lui | J Moreira | K W Lui | 12 | 17.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 7 | AQUILA B/XB V Borges · A T Millard | V Borges | A T Millard | 9 | 4.9 | 10-3/4 |
| — | 0 | RUN RUN GOOD H Bentley · K L Man | H Bentley | K L Man | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | WISDOM PATCH | 24.6% | 4.07 | 2 |
| 2 | 11 | GOLDEN MISSION | 12.5% | 8.01 | 6 |
| 3 | 9 | REGENCY GEM | 11.3% | 8.84 | 5 |
| 4 | 3 | BEAUTY CHEERS | 11.1% | 8.99 | 8 |
| 5 | 6 | FORTUNE HAPPINESS | 10.9% | 9.17 | 11 |
| 6 | 10 | MASTERWORK | 10.4% | 9.64 | 1 |
| 7 | 4 | JADE THEATRE | 4.3% | 23.20 | 7 |
| 8 | 7 | AQUILA | 4.2% | 23.99 | 12 |
| 9 | 1 | CHIKORITA | 3.3% | 30.32 | 10 |
| 10 | 12 | WINNING STRIKES | 3.3% | 30.66 | 3 |
| 11 | 5 | TREASURE OF FIELD | 2.6% | 37.74 | 9 |
| 12 | 8 | STAR OF RED | 1.5% | 64.77 | 4 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 99
PLACE
2 15.5
10 28
12 56
QUINELLA
2,10 178
QUINELLA PLACE
2,10 67
2,12 131
10,12 230
FORECAST
10,2 477
TIERCE
10,2,12 6,557
TRIO
2,10,12 955
FIRST 4
2,8,10,12 8,176
QUARTET
10,2,12,8 143,121
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,10,11/2,10,12 28,901
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 33.5
3RD DOUBLE
2/2 13
2/10 193