沙田 · 2022-03-30 · 22:18
第 7場
2022-03-30沙田第7場，Class 3，途程1800米，跑道評為FAST。由J Moreira策騎、A S Cruz訓練的PARTY EVERYDAY勝出，贏出HD。BEAR SLAM獲得亞軍；APACHE PASS獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.2倍大熱門APACHE PASS跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | PARTY EVERYDAY 後段發力 H/TT 1.46.46 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 12 | 7.5 | HD |
| 2 | 7 | BEAR SLAM 後段發力 SR- B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 9 | 11.0 | HD |
| 3 | 8 | APACHE PASS BO/XB K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 7 | 4.2 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 2 | TIANCHI MONSTER 後段發力 C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 2 | 34.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 9 | ROMANTIC COMBO B/TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 6 | 5.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | ULTRA EXPRESS 後段發力 B/TT L Hewitson · A T Millard | L Hewitson | A T Millard | 4 | 5.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | SO WE JOY 後段發力 H/XB M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 11 | 24.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 4 | LEAP OF FAITH P1 Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 8 | 15.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 5 | KING'S CAPITAL 後段發力 A Hamelin · D A Hayes | A Hamelin | D A Hayes | 14 | 15.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 11 | KING TOURBILLON B2/TT V Borges · Y S Tsui | V Borges | Y S Tsui | 1 | 25.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 10 | SKYEY SUPREME 早段領放 B/TT H Bentley · K W Lui | H Bentley | K W Lui | 3 | 17.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 13 | GOD OF DRAGON 後段發力 B/XB M F Poon · D J Whyte | M F Poon | D J Whyte | 10 | 48.0 | 6 |
| 13 | 14 | BARON ZEE B-/TT M L Yeung · R Gibson | M L Yeung | R Gibson | 5 | 102.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 14 | 1 | EVERYONE'S DELIGHT V/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 13 | 18.0 | 41-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | LEAP OF FAITH | 20.4% | 4.89 | 8 |
| 2 | 12 | PARTY EVERYDAY | 14.9% | 6.69 | 1 |
| 3 | 9 | ROMANTIC COMBO | 11.9% | 8.40 | 5 |
| 4 | 5 | KING'S CAPITAL | 9.4% | 10.68 | 9 |
| 5 | 1 | EVERYONE'S DELIGHT | 8.8% | 11.34 | 14 |
| 6 | 8 | APACHE PASS | 6.7% | 14.87 | 3 |
| 7 | 3 | ULTRA EXPRESS | 5.5% | 18.23 | 6 |
| 8 | 2 | TIANCHI MONSTER | 5.1% | 19.58 | 4 |
| 9 | 7 | BEAR SLAM | 4.5% | 22.39 | 2 |
| 10 | 13 | GOD OF DRAGON | 4.4% | 22.52 | 12 |
| 11 | 6 | SO WE JOY | 3.8% | 26.20 | 7 |
| 12 | 10 | SKYEY SUPREME | 2.4% | 41.48 | 11 |
| 13 | 11 | KING TOURBILLON | 1.3% | 75.48 | 10 |
| 14 | 14 | BARON ZEE | 0.8% | 133.20 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 75.5
PLACE
7 38.5
8 18.5
12 24.5
QUINELLA
7,12 482.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,8 119
7,12 162
8,12 86
FORECAST
12,7 976
TIERCE
12,7,8 7,133
TRIO
7,8,12 898
FIRST 4
2,7,8,12 6,392
QUARTET
12,7,8,2 151,113
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 27
A3 —
A2 —
6TH DOUBLE
7/7 139
7/12 500.5