Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2022-03-30 · 22:18

Race 7

Class 3 FAST 1800m 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.46.46
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 PARTY EVERYDAY Closed strongly H/TT 1.46.46 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · A S Cruz 12 7.5 HD
2 0 BEAR SLAM Closed strongly SR- B Shinn · D J Hall 9 11.0 HD
3 0 APACHE PASS BO/XB K C Leung · P O'Sullivan 7 4.2 1/2
4 0 TIANCHI MONSTER Closed strongly C Y Ho · W Y So 2 34.0 1-1/2
5 0 ROMANTIC COMBO B/TT K Teetan · C S Shum 6 5.0 1-3/4
6 0 ULTRA EXPRESS Closed strongly B/TT L Hewitson · A T Millard 4 5.8 1-3/4
7 0 SO WE JOY Closed strongly H/XB M Chadwick · C W Chang 11 24.0 3
8 0 LEAP OF FAITH P1 Z Purton · J Size 8 15.0 4
9 0 KING'S CAPITAL Closed strongly A Hamelin · D A Hayes 14 15.0 4-3/4
10 0 KING TOURBILLON B2/TT V Borges · Y S Tsui 1 25.0 4-3/4
11 0 SKYEY SUPREME Led early B/TT H Bentley · K W Lui 3 17.0 5-1/4
12 0 GOD OF DRAGON Closed strongly B/XB M F Poon · D J Whyte 10 48.0 6
13 0 BARON ZEE B-/TT M L Yeung · R Gibson 5 102.0 9-1/2
14 0 EVERYONE'S DELIGHT V/TT A Badel · F C Lor 13 18.0 41-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2022-03-30 was Class 3 over 1800m, run on FAST going. PARTY EVERYDAY, ridden by J Moreira and trained by A S Cruz, won by HD, with BEAR SLAM second and APACHE PASS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.2 favourite APACHE PASS finished 3rd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. PARTY EVERYDAY—2. BEAR SLAM+0.2L3. APACHE PASS+0.5L4. TIANCHI MONSTER+1.5L5. ROMANTIC COMBO+1.75L6. ULTRA EXPRESS+1.75L7. SO WE JOY+3L8. LEAP OF FAITH+4L9. KING'S CAPITAL+4.75L10. KING TOURBILLON+4.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick LEAP OF FAITH (20.4%) finished 8th — the winner PARTY EVERYDAY was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 LEAP OF FAITH 20.4% 4.89 8
2 0 PARTY EVERYDAY 14.9% 6.69 1
3 0 ROMANTIC COMBO 11.9% 8.40 5
4 0 KING'S CAPITAL 9.4% 10.68 9
5 0 EVERYONE'S DELIGHT 8.8% 11.34 14
6 0 APACHE PASS 6.7% 14.87 3
7 0 ULTRA EXPRESS 5.5% 18.23 6
8 0 TIANCHI MONSTER 5.1% 19.58 4
9 0 BEAR SLAM 4.5% 22.39 2
10 0 GOD OF DRAGON 4.4% 22.52 12
11 0 SO WE JOY 3.8% 26.20 7
12 0 SKYEY SUPREME 2.4% 41.48 11
13 0 KING TOURBILLON 1.3% 75.48 10
14 0 BARON ZEE 0.8% 133.20 13
LEAP OF FAITHPARTY EVERYDAY — wonROMANTIC COMBOKING'S CAPITALEVERYONE'S DELIGHTAPACHE PASSULTRA EXPRESSTIANCHI MONSTERBEAR SLAMGOD OF DRAGONSO WE JOYSKYEY SUPREMEKING TOURBILLONBARON ZEE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

12 75.5

PLACE

7 38.5

8 18.5

12 24.5

QUINELLA

7,12 482.5

QUINELLA PLACE

7,8 119

7,12 162

8,12 86

FORECAST

12,7 976

TIERCE

12,7,8 7,133

TRIO

7,8,12 898

FIRST 4

2,7,8,12 6,392

QUARTET

12,7,8,2 151,113

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A2 —

A1 27

6TH DOUBLE

7/7 139

7/12 500.5