Sha Tin · 2022-03-30 · 19:47
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2022-03-30 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. CROWN AVENUE, ridden by B Shinn and trained by C H Yip, won by 1, with SPEED FORCE second and LONDON LUCKYSTAR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.8 favourite SPEED FORCE finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | CROWN AVENUE Closed strongly 1.38.50 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Shinn · C H Yip | B Shinn | C H Yip | 5 | 4.4 | 1 |
| 2 | 10 | SPEED FORCE Closed strongly B J Moreira · C W Chang | J Moreira | C W Chang | 11 | 3.8 | 1 |
| 3 | 8 | LONDON LUCKYSTAR Closed strongly PC-/B2 K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 9 | 11.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 13 | PRIME STAR Closed strongly B/TT V Borges · A T Millard | V Borges | A T Millard | 6 | 18.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 14 | RUBY STARS Led early CP1/TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 4 | 8.2 | 2 |
| 6 | 12 | SPLENDID TIMING B M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 8 | 26.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 1 | STAR OF GLORY P C L Chau · C W Chang | C L Chau | C W Chang | 1 | 9.3 | 3 |
| 8 | 11 | HEROIC CHAMPION Closed strongly B L Hewitson · P O'Sullivan | L Hewitson | P O'Sullivan | 14 | 43.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 6 | DAILY BEAUTY Closed strongly PC1/TT D Moor · C Fownes | D Moor | C Fownes | 13 | 25.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 9 | 7 | TURF BRILLIANT Closed strongly B K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 10 | 7.3 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 3 | GIVE WAY PLEASE B-/TT A Hamelin · D A Hayes | A Hamelin | D A Hayes | 7 | 12.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 12 | 4 | ILLUSTRIOUS B-/PC1/TT1 H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 2 | 68.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 13 | 9 | HOLYSHOWCASING B-/SR- M Chadwick · R Gibson | M Chadwick | R Gibson | 12 | 64.0 | 15-1/4 |
| — | 2 | HANDSOME REBEL C Y Ho · Y S Tsui | C Y Ho | Y S Tsui | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | SPEED FORCE | 21.4% | 4.68 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | STAR OF GLORY | 17.4% | 5.73 | 7 |
| 3 | 13 | PRIME STAR | 9.8% | 10.24 | 4 |
| 4 | 5 | CROWN AVENUE | 9.2% | 10.89 | 1 |
| 5 | 7 | TURF BRILLIANT | 7.6% | 13.09 | 9 |
| 6 | 6 | DAILY BEAUTY | 7.4% | 13.52 | 9 |
| 7 | 8 | LONDON LUCKYSTAR | 7.0% | 14.25 | 3 |
| 8 | 12 | SPLENDID TIMING | 5.0% | 20.17 | 6 |
| 9 | 14 | RUBY STARS | 4.7% | 21.41 | 5 |
| 10 | 9 | HOLYSHOWCASING | 3.8% | 26.42 | 13 |
| 11 | 3 | GIVE WAY PLEASE | 3.5% | 28.92 | 11 |
| 12 | 11 | HEROIC CHAMPION | 1.8% | 55.49 | 8 |
| 13 | 4 | ILLUSTRIOUS | 1.5% | 65.42 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 44
PLACE
5 17.5
8 32.5
10 17
QUINELLA
5,10 86.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 85.5
5,10 36
8,10 85.5
FORECAST
5,10 168
TIERCE
5,10,8 1,297
TRIO
5,8,10 206
FIRST 4
5,8,10,13 1,313
QUARTET
5,10,8,13 19,550
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
4/2,10 23
4/5 221.5
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 20.5
A3 —