Sha Tin · 2022-03-30 · 22:53
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2022-03-30 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on FAST going. LIKE THAT, ridden by J Moreira and trained by F C Lor, won by SH, with LIGHTNING BOLT second and MAGIC SUPREME third. The 2.0 favourite LIGHTNING BOLT finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | LIKE THAT V 1.07.74 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 7 | 11.0 | SH |
| 2 | 7 | LIGHTNING BOLT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 11 | 2.0 | SH |
| 3 | 10 | MAGIC SUPREME CP-/B1/TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 2 | 7.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | TRADER CP/TT Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 5 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 5 | DROPS OF GOD P1 V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 3 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 1 | LOVING A BOOM TT B Shinn · R Gibson | B Shinn | R Gibson | 1 | 13.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | SUNNY BOY B/TT C L Chau · W Y So | C L Chau | W Y So | 10 | 28.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | IGNITING TT K H Chan · K W Lui | K H Chan | K W Lui | 4 | 46.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 4 | METRO WARRIOR B C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 8 | 25.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 6 | MAN STAR V H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 9 | 18.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 9 | RESOLUTE B H T Mo · A T Millard | H T Mo | A T Millard | 12 | 56.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 12 | YO BEAUTY CP/H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 6 | 14.0 | 7 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | LIGHTNING BOLT | 20.9% | 4.78 | 2 |
| 2 | 8 | TRADER | 17.5% | 5.71 | 4 |
| 3 | 11 | LIKE THAT | 13.1% | 7.61 | 1 |
| 4 | 5 | DROPS OF GOD | 10.6% | 9.48 | 5 |
| 5 | 10 | MAGIC SUPREME | 8.1% | 12.41 | 3 |
| 6 | 1 | LOVING A BOOM | 7.1% | 14.01 | 6 |
| 7 | 12 | YO BEAUTY | 5.8% | 17.25 | 12 |
| 8 | 4 | METRO WARRIOR | 5.0% | 20.12 | 9 |
| 9 | 3 | SUNNY BOY | 3.9% | 25.46 | 7 |
| 10 | 2 | IGNITING | 3.6% | 27.86 | 8 |
| 11 | 9 | RESOLUTE | 2.4% | 41.53 | 11 |
| 12 | 6 | MAN STAR | 2.0% | 50.82 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 118
PLACE
7 12.5
10 24
11 32.5
QUINELLA
7,11 104.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,10 43
7,11 48
10,11 133.5
FORECAST
11,7 431
TIERCE
11,7,10 2,351
TRIO
7,10,11 276
FIRST 4
7,8,10,11 498
QUARTET
11,7,10,8 15,249
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 36
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
7,8,12/7,10,11 24,158
7TH DOUBLE
12/7 33.5
12/11 695.5
SIX UP
2/10/2/7/12/11 1,662,040
2,11/2,10/2,3/1,7/7,12/7,11 8,399
3 [J Moreira] —
TREBLE
7/12/7 242
7/12/11 5,039