Sha Tin · 2022-03-30 · 20:16
Race 3
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2022-03-30 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on FAST going. FLYING DRAGON, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C H Yip, won by 1-1/2, with E BROTHER second and TEAM GOODLUCK third. Victory came as the 2.1 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | FLYING DRAGON 1.08.18 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 1 | 2.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 11 | E BROTHER CP-/B1/TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 8 | 5.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 10 | TEAM GOODLUCK CP/TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 5 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 6 | MOERAKI B J Moreira · C W Chang | J Moreira | C W Chang | 9 | 5.5 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | COOLCELEB B/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 7 | 18.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 12 | SICOMORO H-/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 12 | 54.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | ARES B H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 10 | 16.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 5 | GREEN ENVY V/TT V Borges · C Fownes | V Borges | C Fownes | 2 | 66.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | WHAT A LEGEND B A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 4 | 14.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 1 | TURQUOISE HOPE B/TT1 B Shinn · P O'Sullivan | B Shinn | P O'Sullivan | 6 | 49.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 11 | 4 | DASSIT P1 K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 3 | 37.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 12 | 9 | HAPPY FAT CAT K C Leung · A T Millard | K C Leung | A T Millard | 11 | 20.0 | 13 |
| — | 0 | COLOURFUL PRINCE K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | FLYING DRAGON | 35.1% | 2.85 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 | MOERAKI | 19.7% | 5.07 | 4 |
| 3 | 4 | DASSIT | 10.4% | 9.61 | 11 |
| 4 | 10 | TEAM GOODLUCK | 10.0% | 9.96 | 3 |
| 5 | 3 | WHAT A LEGEND | 6.6% | 15.14 | 9 |
| 6 | 11 | E BROTHER | 4.3% | 23.07 | 2 |
| 7 | 7 | ARES | 3.7% | 27.35 | 7 |
| 8 | 9 | HAPPY FAT CAT | 2.9% | 34.47 | 12 |
| 9 | 8 | COOLCELEB | 2.5% | 39.56 | 5 |
| 10 | 1 | TURQUOISE HOPE | 1.8% | 55.21 | 10 |
| 11 | 5 | GREEN ENVY | 1.7% | 59.93 | 8 |
| 12 | 12 | SICOMORO | 1.2% | 80.15 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 21.5
PLACE
2 11.5
10 28
11 21.5
QUINELLA
2,11 70
QUINELLA PLACE
2,10 48.5
2,11 34
10,11 91.5
FORECAST
2,11 111
TIERCE
2,11,10 729
TRIO
2,10,11 258
FIRST 4
2,6,10,11 157
QUARTET
2,11,10,6 2,687
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
5/2 106.5
5/11 59.5
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 15.5
A3 —