Sha Tin · 2022-03-30 · 21:46
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2022-03-30 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on FAST going. HAPPY TANGO, ridden by K Teetan and trained by Y S Tsui, won by N, with JAZZ ANGEL second and DASHING GENIUS third. The 3.0 favourite THUNDERSTRIKE finished 10th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | HAPPY TANGO B 1.08.56 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 5 | 6.5 | N |
| 2 | 1 | JAZZ ANGEL B-/H-/TT- B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 6 | 11.0 | N |
| 3 | 11 | DASHING GENIUS B/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 1 | 62.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 12 | DRAGON BABY E/PC/TT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 7 | 13.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | BLISSFUL STAR CP/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 4 | 8.1 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 10 | NOBODY KNOWS H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 3 | 77.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 9 | MELBOURNE HALL H/XB L Hewitson · D J Hall | L Hewitson | D J Hall | 9 | 38.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | FIERY DIAMOND B1 J Moreira · T P Yung | J Moreira | T P Yung | 10 | 3.4 | 6 |
| 9 | 5 | FIGHTING STAR XB/B1/TT H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 2 | 19.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 3 | THUNDERSTRIKE B/H Z Purton · D J Whyte | Z Purton | D J Whyte | 11 | 3.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 6 | BELL OF VICTORY B M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 8 | 41.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 2 | REGENCY STAR CP K H Chan · C S Shum | K H Chan | C S Shum | 12 | 38.0 | 12-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | FIERY DIAMOND | 24.5% | 4.09 | 8 |
| 2 | 8 | BLISSFUL STAR | 20.1% | 4.98 | 5 |
| 3 | 7 | HAPPY TANGO | 13.5% | 7.40 | 1 |
| 4 | 3 | THUNDERSTRIKE | 13.0% | 7.69 | 10 |
| 5 | 2 | REGENCY STAR | 8.6% | 11.66 | 12 |
| 6 | 12 | DRAGON BABY | 6.7% | 14.98 | 4 |
| 7 | 5 | FIGHTING STAR | 4.4% | 22.87 | 9 |
| 8 | 1 | JAZZ ANGEL | 3.8% | 26.66 | 2 |
| 9 | 9 | MELBOURNE HALL | 3.0% | 33.78 | 7 |
| 10 | 6 | BELL OF VICTORY | 0.9% | 106.59 | 11 |
| 11 | 10 | NOBODY KNOWS | 0.9% | 117.09 | 6 |
| 12 | 11 | DASHING GENIUS | 0.8% | 120.01 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 65
PLACE
1 28
7 23
11 118
QUINELLA
1,7 394.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 118
1,11 701
7,11 548.5
FORECAST
7,1 790
TIERCE
7,1,11 23,305
TRIO
1,7,11 5,816
FIRST 4
1,7,11,12 13,876
QUARTET
7,1,11,12 261,010
All pools (4 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,8/1,7,11 1,454,927
3 PICK 1
A2 28.5
A1 —
A3 —
5TH DOUBLE
2/1 119
2/7 505
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,10,12/2,3,8/Any Combination 49,947