Sha Tin · 2022-03-30 · 20:47
Race 4
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2022-03-30 was Class 5 over 1200m, run on FAST going. MASTERWORK, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by Y S Tsui, won by 1/2, with WISDOM PATCH second and WINNING STRIKES third. The 3.4 favourite WISDOM PATCH finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | MASTERWORK 1.09.10 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · Y S Tsui | C Y Ho | Y S Tsui | 6 | 9.9 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 2 | WISDOM PATCH PC/TT Z Purton · P O'Sullivan | Z Purton | P O'Sullivan | 4 | 3.4 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 12 | WINNING STRIKES B-/PC1 M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 8 | 20.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 8 | STAR OF RED B/TT D Moor · T P Yung | D Moor | T P Yung | 1 | 34.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 9 | REGENCY GEM B/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 5 | 6.8 | 2 |
| 6 | 11 | GOLDEN MISSION B M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 2 | 5.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | JADE THEATRE B K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 3 | 18.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 3 | BEAUTY CHEERS A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 7 | 19.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | TREASURE OF FIELD B/TT A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 11 | 56.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 1 | CHIKORITA B Shinn · R Gibson | B Shinn | R Gibson | 10 | 93.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 6 | FORTUNE HAPPINESS V J Moreira · K W Lui | J Moreira | K W Lui | 12 | 17.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 7 | AQUILA B/XB V Borges · A T Millard | V Borges | A T Millard | 9 | 4.9 | 10-3/4 |
| — | 0 | RUN RUN GOOD H Bentley · K L Man | H Bentley | K L Man | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | WISDOM PATCH | 24.6% | 4.07 | 2 |
| 2 | 11 | GOLDEN MISSION | 12.5% | 8.01 | 6 |
| 3 | 9 | REGENCY GEM | 11.3% | 8.84 | 5 |
| 4 | 3 | BEAUTY CHEERS | 11.1% | 8.99 | 8 |
| 5 | 6 | FORTUNE HAPPINESS | 10.9% | 9.17 | 11 |
| 6 | 10 | MASTERWORK | 10.4% | 9.64 | 1 |
| 7 | 4 | JADE THEATRE | 4.3% | 23.20 | 7 |
| 8 | 7 | AQUILA | 4.2% | 23.99 | 12 |
| 9 | 1 | CHIKORITA | 3.3% | 30.32 | 10 |
| 10 | 12 | WINNING STRIKES | 3.3% | 30.66 | 3 |
| 11 | 5 | TREASURE OF FIELD | 2.6% | 37.74 | 9 |
| 12 | 8 | STAR OF RED | 1.5% | 64.77 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 99
PLACE
2 15.5
10 28
12 56
QUINELLA
2,10 178
QUINELLA PLACE
2,10 67
2,12 131
10,12 230
FORECAST
10,2 477
TIERCE
10,2,12 6,557
TRIO
2,10,12 955
FIRST 4
2,8,10,12 8,176
QUARTET
10,2,12,8 143,121
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,10,11/2,10,12 28,901
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 33.5
3RD DOUBLE
2/2 13
2/10 193