Sha Tin · 2022-03-30 · 19:16
Race 1
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2022-03-30 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. MISSION BRAVO, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by K H Ting, won by 3/4, with CHATER PINS second and AMAZING TEENS third. The winner led throughout. The 2.6 favourite AMAZING TEENS finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | MISSION BRAVO Wire to wire H/TT 1.47.45 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 5 | 4.5 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 8 | CHATER PINS Closed strongly SR M Chadwick · D A Hayes | M Chadwick | D A Hayes | 3 | 8.4 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 2 | AMAZING TEENS H/P2/TT Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 4 | 2.6 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 6 | UNITE SPIRIT Closed strongly B/XB B Shinn · W Y So | B Shinn | W Y So | 7 | 5.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | JOYFUL HEART B-/PC1/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 1 | 16.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | PAKISTAN FRIEND TT C L Chau · W Y So | C L Chau | W Y So | 6 | 13.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | MURRAY'S PARTNERS Closed strongly V K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 9 | 23.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 9 | MISTER MONTE CP H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 2 | 22.0 | 28-1/4 |
| 9 | 1 | PERFECT TO GREAT B-/PC1 J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 8 | 12.0 | 36 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | AMAZING TEENS | 34.8% | 2.87 | 3 |
| 2 | 1 | PERFECT TO GREAT | 14.4% | 6.97 | 9 |
| 3 | 3 | PAKISTAN FRIEND | 12.7% | 7.89 | 6 |
| 4 | 8 | CHATER PINS | 10.7% | 9.38 | 2 |
| 5 | 5 | JOYFUL HEART | 8.6% | 11.59 | 5 |
| 6 | 6 | UNITE SPIRIT | 7.3% | 13.63 | 4 |
| 7 | 4 | MISSION BRAVO | 7.0% | 14.32 | 1 |
| 8 | 7 | MURRAY'S PARTNERS | 2.4% | 42.25 | 7 |
| 9 | 9 | MISTER MONTE | 2.2% | 45.53 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 45
PLACE
2 13
4 18
8 24
QUINELLA
4,8 262
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 33
2,8 40.5
4,8 76
FORECAST
4,8 425
TIERCE
4,8,2 1,680
TRIO
2,4,8 184
FIRST 4
2,4,6,8 142
QUARTET
4,8,2,6 4,621
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 16.5
A2 —