跑馬地 · 2022-04-06 · 22:18
第 8場
2022-04-06跑馬地第8場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由M Chadwick策騎、W Y So訓練的JIANGXI STAMINA勝出，贏出2-1/4。KOKUSHI MUSOU獲得亞軍；FARSHAD獲得季軍。2.1倍大熱門KOKUSHI MUSOU跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | JIANGXI STAMINA B/TT 1.10.47 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 4 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 2 | KOKUSHI MUSOU H/TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 1 | 2.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 4 | FARSHAD CP- K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 10 | 38.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | HARRIER JET B B Shinn · P O'Sullivan | B Shinn | P O'Sullivan | 6 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 6 | QUORUM B/TT L Hewitson · R Gibson | L Hewitson | R Gibson | 5 | 117.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 8 | HEAVENLY THOUGHT B H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 9 | 53.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 10 | HERO STAR CP2/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 7 | 8.9 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 11 | TAKINGUFURTHER V M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 11 | 37.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | PEAK TO PEAK B-/V1/TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 3 | 3.7 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 1 | FABULOUS EIGHT TT J Moreira · P F Yiu | J Moreira | P F Yiu | 8 | 12.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 5 | UNITED ENDEAVORS H H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 2 | 128.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 3 | COMMON ROOM CP1/TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 12 | 49.0 | 13-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | KOKUSHI MUSOU | 33.5% | 2.99 | 2 |
| 2 | 9 | PEAK TO PEAK | 18.9% | 5.29 | 9 |
| 3 | 1 | FABULOUS EIGHT | 12.8% | 7.80 | 10 |
| 4 | 12 | JIANGXI STAMINA | 8.8% | 11.35 | 1 |
| 5 | 10 | HERO STAR | 8.6% | 11.65 | 7 |
| 6 | 11 | TAKINGUFURTHER | 5.0% | 20.08 | 8 |
| 7 | 7 | HARRIER JET | 3.4% | 29.73 | 4 |
| 8 | 3 | COMMON ROOM | 3.1% | 32.43 | 12 |
| 9 | 4 | FARSHAD | 2.9% | 34.98 | 3 |
| 10 | 8 | HEAVENLY THOUGHT | 1.7% | 58.21 | 6 |
| 11 | 5 | UNITED ENDEAVORS | 0.7% | 138.21 | 11 |
| 12 | 6 | QUORUM | 0.7% | 149.32 | 5 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 114
PLACE
2 12.5
4 68.5
12 27.5
QUINELLA
2,12 140
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 122.5
2,12 49
4,12 358.5
FORECAST
12,2 393
TIERCE
12,2,4 5,790
TRIO
2,4,12 1,161
FIRST 4
2,4,7,12 1,667
QUARTET
12,2,4,7 44,672
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 35.5
A3 —
A1 —
7TH DOUBLE
11/2 16.5
11/12 576.5