跑馬地 · 2022-04-06 · 22:53
第 9場
2022-04-06跑馬地第9場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、K W Lui訓練的STAR BRITE勝出，贏出N。WINE AND WINE獲得亞軍；FLAMING PASSION獲得季軍。頭馬以2.0倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | STAR BRITE CP/TT 1.09.97 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 1 | 2.0 | N |
| 2 | 10 | WINE AND WINE B/TT C Wong · T P Yung | C Wong | T P Yung | 5 | 16.0 | N |
| 3 | 6 | FLAMING PASSION TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 6 | 6.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 11 | LYRICAL MOTION TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 8 | 12.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | STOICISM TT L Hewitson · R Gibson | L Hewitson | R Gibson | 3 | 22.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | SKY FOREVER B/TT J Moreira · K L Man | J Moreira | K L Man | 11 | 5.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 12 | RIVER VIEWS TT A Badel · T P Yung | A Badel | T P Yung | 2 | 25.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 8 | FAULDS XB/TT A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 12 | 79.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 3 | LUCKY ARCHANGEL CP/XB H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 10 | 15.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 1 | TRANSCENDENT CP/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 7 | 49.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 5 | WILD WEST WING V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 9 | 52.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 7 | TRUST ME B/H C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 4 | 37.0 | 7-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | STAR BRITE | 32.8% | 3.05 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 | FLAMING PASSION | 13.8% | 7.22 | 3 |
| 3 | 3 | LUCKY ARCHANGEL | 12.8% | 7.80 | 9 |
| 4 | 2 | SKY FOREVER | 11.7% | 8.58 | 6 |
| 5 | 11 | LYRICAL MOTION | 6.6% | 15.20 | 4 |
| 6 | 10 | WINE AND WINE | 6.1% | 16.40 | 2 |
| 7 | 5 | WILD WEST WING | 4.7% | 21.38 | 11 |
| 8 | 7 | TRUST ME | 3.3% | 30.27 | 12 |
| 9 | 8 | FAULDS | 2.9% | 34.13 | 8 |
| 10 | 9 | STOICISM | 2.1% | 48.04 | 5 |
| 11 | 12 | RIVER VIEWS | 2.0% | 49.94 | 7 |
| 12 | 1 | TRANSCENDENT | 1.2% | 82.22 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 20
PLACE
4 12
6 19
10 35
QUINELLA
4,10 133.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 27
4,10 55.5
6,10 104.5
FORECAST
4,10 217
TIERCE
4,10,6 789
TRIO
4,6,10 211
FIRST 4
4,6,10,11 458
QUARTET
4,10,6,11 6,237
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 15.5
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,12/4,6,10 23,822
8TH DOUBLE
12/4 305
12/10 206
SIX UP
3,6/9,12/3,9/2,11/2,12/4,10 3,334
6/12/3/11/12/4 2,022,370
6 [M Chadwick] —
TREBLE
11/12/4 1,870
11/12/10 1,378