Happy Valley · 2022-04-06 · 22:53
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | STAR BRITE CP/TT 1.09.97 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 1 | 2.0 | N |
| 2 | 0 | WINE AND WINE B/TT C Wong · T P Yung | C Wong | T P Yung | 5 | 16.0 | N |
| 3 | 0 | FLAMING PASSION TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 6 | 6.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | LYRICAL MOTION TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 8 | 12.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | STOICISM TT L Hewitson · R Gibson | L Hewitson | R Gibson | 3 | 22.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | SKY FOREVER B/TT J Moreira · K L Man | J Moreira | K L Man | 11 | 5.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | RIVER VIEWS TT A Badel · T P Yung | A Badel | T P Yung | 2 | 25.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | FAULDS XB/TT A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 12 | 79.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | LUCKY ARCHANGEL CP/XB H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 10 | 15.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | TRANSCENDENT CP/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 7 | 49.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | WILD WEST WING V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 9 | 52.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 0 | TRUST ME B/H C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 4 | 37.0 | 7-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2022-04-06 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. STAR BRITE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K W Lui, won by N, with WINE AND WINE second and FLAMING PASSION third. Victory came as the 2.0 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | STAR BRITE | 32.8% | 3.05 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | FLAMING PASSION | 13.8% | 7.22 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | LUCKY ARCHANGEL | 12.8% | 7.80 | 9 |
| 4 | 0 | SKY FOREVER | 11.7% | 8.58 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | LYRICAL MOTION | 6.6% | 15.20 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | WINE AND WINE | 6.1% | 16.40 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | WILD WEST WING | 4.7% | 21.38 | 11 |
| 8 | 0 | TRUST ME | 3.3% | 30.27 | 12 |
| 9 | 0 | FAULDS | 2.9% | 34.13 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | STOICISM | 2.1% | 48.04 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | RIVER VIEWS | 2.0% | 49.94 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | TRANSCENDENT | 1.2% | 82.22 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 20
PLACE
4 12
6 19
10 35
QUINELLA
4,10 133.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 27
4,10 55.5
6,10 104.5
FORECAST
4,10 217
TIERCE
4,10,6 789
TRIO
4,6,10 211
FIRST 4
4,6,10,11 458
QUARTET
4,10,6,11 6,237
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 15.5
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,12/4,6,10 23,822
8TH DOUBLE
12/4 305
12/10 206
SIX UP
3,6/9,12/3,9/2,11/2,12/4,10 3,334
6/12/3/11/12/4 2,022,370
6 [M Chadwick] —
TREBLE
11/12/4 1,870
11/12/10 1,378