Happy Valley · 2022-04-06 · 19:47
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HUMBLE STEED Closed strongly 1.41.99 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 5 | 23.0 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | SMILING FACE Closed strongly SR/TT K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 6 | 5.9 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | WONDERFUL TIGER Led early XB-/H/TT M L Yeung · R Gibson | M L Yeung | R Gibson | 7 | 37.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | DIAMOND STAR Closed strongly E/TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 11 | 5.9 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | MANNA FROM HEAVEN B A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 12 | 17.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | MISTER ARM Z Purton · Y S Tsui | Z Purton | Y S Tsui | 3 | 2.8 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | ZACIAN C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 2 | 6.1 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | GORGEOUS INHERITOR M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 1 | 16.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | AMAZING BOY Closed strongly B/TT A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 8 | 10.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | A A AGILITY B/TT2 H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 4 | 82.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | ANONYMA XB/TT R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 10 | 19.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | JUDY'S STAR B/TT1 K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 9 | 71.0 | 62 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2022-04-06 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. HUMBLE STEED, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by T P Yung, won by SH, with SMILING FACE second and WONDERFUL TIGER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.8 favourite MISTER ARM finished 6th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | DIAMOND STAR | 17.5% | 5.70 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | SMILING FACE | 17.1% | 5.85 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | MISTER ARM | 14.1% | 7.09 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | AMAZING BOY | 12.0% | 8.35 | 9 |
| 5 | 0 | ZACIAN | 6.9% | 14.59 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | GORGEOUS INHERITOR | 6.5% | 15.39 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | A A AGILITY | 6.4% | 15.60 | 10 |
| 8 | 0 | MANNA FROM HEAVEN | 5.9% | 16.98 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | ANONYMA | 5.0% | 19.83 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | HUMBLE STEED | 3.6% | 27.69 | 1 |
| 11 | 0 | WONDERFUL TIGER | 3.4% | 29.56 | 3 |
| 12 | 0 | JUDY'S STAR | 1.6% | 62.58 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 235.5
PLACE
8 58.5
11 19
12 84.5
QUINELLA
8,11 651
QUINELLA PLACE
8,11 178.5
8,12 602.5
11,12 297
FORECAST
8,11 1,421
TIERCE
8,11,12 32,497
TRIO
8,11,12 6,419
FIRST 4
7,8,11,12 4,474
QUARTET
8,11,12,7 139,783
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
2/8 691
2/11 36
3 PICK 1
A3 38
A2 —
A1 —