Happy Valley · 2022-04-06 · 21:46
Race 7
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2022-04-06 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. DURHAM STAR, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by D J Whyte, won by 1, with BINGO BINGO second and GANG OF BROTHERS third. The 2.7 favourite BINGO BINGO finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | DURHAM STAR XB/SR1 1.10.02 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 4 | 3.9 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | BINGO BINGO B/TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 1 | 2.7 | 1 |
| 3 | 8 | GANG OF BROTHERS Z Purton · P O'Sullivan | Z Purton | P O'Sullivan | 12 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 10 | WHISKEY NEAT TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 3 | 5.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 9 | BELLA BABY XB/P1/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 9 | 23.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 1 | HURRY HURRY GAIN C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 2 | 18.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | SURE JOYFUL J Moreira · P F Yiu | J Moreira | P F Yiu | 8 | 8.5 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 4 | SUPER AXIOM H/P2/TT M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 6 | 56.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | FLAMING EAGLE B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 11 | 21.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | AMBITIOUS HEART B/TT H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 7 | 31.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 7 | YOUNG EXPLORER A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 10 | 101.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 5 | HO HO JUNIOR H1 L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 5 | 104.0 | 13-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | BINGO BINGO | 26.4% | 3.79 | 2 |
| 2 | 8 | GANG OF BROTHERS | 17.4% | 5.76 | 3 |
| 3 | 6 | SURE JOYFUL | 16.6% | 6.02 | 7 |
| 4 | 11 | DURHAM STAR | 9.3% | 10.70 | 1 |
| 5 | 3 | FLAMING EAGLE | 8.1% | 12.36 | 9 |
| 6 | 10 | WHISKEY NEAT | 5.8% | 17.35 | 4 |
| 7 | 9 | BELLA BABY | 5.3% | 18.85 | 5 |
| 8 | 1 | HURRY HURRY GAIN | 3.9% | 25.66 | 6 |
| 9 | 4 | SUPER AXIOM | 2.3% | 43.38 | 8 |
| 10 | 7 | YOUNG EXPLORER | 2.1% | 47.09 | 11 |
| 11 | 5 | HO HO JUNIOR | 1.6% | 62.82 | 12 |
| 12 | 12 | AMBITIOUS HEART | 1.3% | 79.21 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 39.5
PLACE
2 12
8 24
11 15.5
QUINELLA
2,11 48
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 63
2,11 22.5
8,11 72.5
FORECAST
11,2 124
TIERCE
11,2,8 742
TRIO
2,8,11 189
FIRST 4
2,8,10,11 222
QUARTET
11,2,8,10 4,247
All pools (5 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,7,9/2,8,11 7,985
3 PICK 1
A1 16.5
A3 —
A2 —
6TH DOUBLE
3/2 59.5
3/11 596.5
TRIPLE TRIO
7,9,12/3,7,9/2,8,11 5,036,523
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
7,9,12/3,7,9/Any Combination 18,926