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Happy Valley · 2022-04-06 · 21:46

Race 7

Class 4 GOOD 1200m Course A 11 runners

Result

Official · 1.10.02
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 DURHAM STAR XB/SR1 1.10.02 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · D J Whyte 4 3.9 1
2 0 BINGO BINGO B/TT K Teetan · C S Shum 1 2.7 1
3 0 GANG OF BROTHERS Z Purton · P O'Sullivan 12 10.0 1-3/4
4 0 WHISKEY NEAT TT K H Chan · C Fownes 3 5.9 2-1/2
5 0 BELLA BABY XB/P1/TT M Chadwick · W Y So 9 23.0 3-3/4
6 0 HURRY HURRY GAIN C Y Ho · F C Lor 2 18.0 3-3/4
8 0 SUPER AXIOM H/P2/TT M L Yeung · Y S Tsui 6 56.0 6-3/4
9 0 FLAMING EAGLE B Shinn · D A Hayes 11 21.0 6-3/4
10 0 AMBITIOUS HEART B/TT H Bentley · T P Yung 7 31.0 7-1/2
11 0 YOUNG EXPLORER A Hamelin · K H Ting 10 101.0 7-3/4
12 0 HO HO JUNIOR H1 L Ferraris · D J Hall 5 104.0 13-1/2
— 0 SURE JOYFUL J Moreira · P F Yiu — 8.5 5-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2022-04-06 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. DURHAM STAR, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by D J Whyte, won by 1, with BINGO BINGO second and GANG OF BROTHERS third. The 2.7 favourite BINGO BINGO finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. DURHAM STAR—2. BINGO BINGO+1L3. GANG OF BROTHERS+1.75L4. WHISKEY NEAT+2.5L5. BELLA BABY+3.75L6. HURRY HURRY GAIN+3.75L8. SUPER AXIOM+6.75L9. FLAMING EAGLE+6.75L10. AMBITIOUS HEART+7.5L11. YOUNG EXPLORER+7.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick BINGO BINGO (26.4%) finished 2nd — the winner DURHAM STAR was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 BINGO BINGO 26.4% 3.79 2
2 0 GANG OF BROTHERS 17.4% 5.76 3
3 0 SURE JOYFUL 16.6% 6.02 —
4 0 DURHAM STAR 9.3% 10.70 1
5 0 FLAMING EAGLE 8.1% 12.36 9
6 0 WHISKEY NEAT 5.8% 17.35 4
7 0 BELLA BABY 5.3% 18.85 5
8 0 HURRY HURRY GAIN 3.9% 25.66 6
9 0 SUPER AXIOM 2.3% 43.38 8
10 0 YOUNG EXPLORER 2.1% 47.09 11
11 0 HO HO JUNIOR 1.6% 62.82 12
12 0 AMBITIOUS HEART 1.3% 79.21 10
BINGO BINGOGANG OF BROTHERSSURE JOYFULDURHAM STAR — wonFLAMING EAGLEWHISKEY NEATBELLA BABYHURRY HURRY GAINSUPER AXIOMYOUNG EXPLORERHO HO JUNIORAMBITIOUS HEART

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

11 39.5

PLACE

2 12

8 24

11 15.5

QUINELLA

2,11 48

QUINELLA PLACE

2,8 63

2,11 22.5

8,11 72.5

FORECAST

11,2 124

TIERCE

11,2,8 742

TRIO

2,8,11 189

FIRST 4

2,8,10,11 222

QUARTET

11,2,8,10 4,247

All pools (5 more)

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

3,7,9/2,8,11 7,985

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A1 16.5

A3 —

6TH DOUBLE

3/2 59.5

3/11 596.5

TRIPLE TRIO

7,9,12/3,7,9/2,8,11 5,036,523

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

7,9,12/3,7,9/Any Combination 18,926