Happy Valley · 2022-04-06 · 18:46
Race 1
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2022-04-06 was Class 3 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. WHIZZ KID, ridden by J Moreira and trained by A S Cruz, won by 2, with SPECIAL M second and RISING FROM ASHES third. Victory came as the 1.7 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | WHIZZ KID B/TT 0.56.47 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 7 | 1.7 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | SPECIAL M B/TT Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 3 | 3.4 | 2 |
| 3 | 7 | RISING FROM ASHES H/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 2 | 33.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 6 | MASSIVE ACTION V M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 1 | 7.2 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 5 | FORTE XB/TT V Borges · D A Hayes | V Borges | D A Hayes | 6 | 13.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 1 | HARMONY FIRE H-/CP/XB/TT K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 4 | 10.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 3 | DIAMOND BRILLIANT V/TT H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 5 | 43.0 | 5-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | WHIZZ KID | 56.4% | 1.77 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | SPECIAL M | 17.6% | 5.67 | 2 |
| 3 | 6 | MASSIVE ACTION | 10.5% | 9.50 | 4 |
| 4 | 1 | HARMONY FIRE | 7.6% | 13.10 | 6 |
| 5 | 5 | FORTE | 5.1% | 19.63 | 5 |
| 6 | 3 | DIAMOND BRILLIANT | 2.0% | 49.70 | 7 |
| 7 | 7 | RISING FROM ASHES | 0.7% | 153.71 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 17.5
PLACE
2 11.5
4 11.5
7 46
QUINELLA
2,4 24.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 14.5
2,7 111.5
4,7 87
FORECAST
4,2 33
TIERCE
4,2,7 504
TRIO
2,4,7 136
FIRST 4
2,4,6,7 158
QUARTET
4,2,7,6 1,695
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 11.5
A3 —