Happy Valley · 2022-04-06 · 20:47
Race 5
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2022-04-06 was Class 4 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. MULTIMORE, ridden by H T Mo and trained by T P Yung, won by SH, with VAMOS second and WINNING ICEY third. The 4.1 favourite FARIBAULT finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | MULTIMORE TT 0.57.46 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 1 | 9.3 | SH |
| 2 | 9 | VAMOS H A Hamelin · D A Hayes | A Hamelin | D A Hayes | 9 | 27.0 | SH |
| 3 | 7 | WINNING ICEY TT1 L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 5 | 6.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | OVERSUBSCRIBED XB B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 2 | 6.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 11 | FARIBAULT XB J Moreira · P O'Sullivan | J Moreira | P O'Sullivan | 4 | 4.1 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 6 | SHINING FORTUNE H1 K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 7 | 19.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 2 | HAPPY TANGO B M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 6 | 24.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 10 | SUPER COMMANDER B/TT K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 3 | 9.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 1 | MIGHTY VALOR V- K H Chan · P F Yiu | K H Chan | P F Yiu | 12 | 46.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 3 | KOWLOON EAST STAR H/SR/TT R Maia · K H Ting | R Maia | K H Ting | 10 | 35.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 4 | HAPPY SOUL TT1 A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 11 | 61.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 12 | 5 | NOBLE ONE H1 Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 8 | 4.1 | 5 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | NOBLE ONE | 21.2% | 4.73 | 12 |
| 2 | 11 | FARIBAULT | 16.0% | 6.25 | 5 |
| 3 | 8 | OVERSUBSCRIBED | 12.6% | 7.92 | 4 |
| 4 | 2 | HAPPY TANGO | 11.4% | 8.74 | 7 |
| 5 | 6 | SHINING FORTUNE | 10.2% | 9.82 | 6 |
| 6 | 12 | MULTIMORE | 9.5% | 10.56 | 1 |
| 7 | 10 | SUPER COMMANDER | 5.4% | 18.48 | 8 |
| 8 | 4 | HAPPY SOUL | 4.2% | 23.82 | 11 |
| 9 | 3 | KOWLOON EAST STAR | 3.1% | 32.65 | 10 |
| 10 | 9 | VAMOS | 2.7% | 37.58 | 2 |
| 11 | 7 | WINNING ICEY | 2.1% | 48.26 | 3 |
| 12 | 1 | MIGHTY VALOR | 1.7% | 58.29 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 93
PLACE
7 22
9 61
12 29.5
QUINELLA
9,12 1,155
QUINELLA PLACE
7,9 205
7,12 130.5
9,12 296.5
FORECAST
12,9 2,045
TIERCE
12,9,7 16,187
TRIO
7,9,12 2,682
FIRST 4
7,8,9,12 1,980
QUARTET
12,9,7,8 54,582
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,6/7,9,12 56,651
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 26
4TH DOUBLE
6/9 596
6/12 1,463