Happy Valley · 2022-04-06 · 21:16

Race 6

Class 3 GOOD 1650m Course A 9 runners

Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2022-04-06 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. PRIME MINISTER, ridden by K C Leung and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1, with THE ANOMALY second and DR WINNING third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.8 favourite DR WINNING finished 3rd.

Result

Official · 1.40.25

Pos	No.	Horse	Jockey	Trainer	Draw	Weight	Odds	Margin
1	3	PRIME MINISTER Closed strongly TT 1.40.25 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · P F Yiu	K C Leung	P F Yiu	2	127 lb	12.0	1
2	9	THE ANOMALY M Chadwick · K H Ting	M Chadwick	K H Ting	7	118 lb	5.6	1
3	7	DR WINNING Closed strongly TT K Teetan · J Size	K Teetan	J Size	4	119 lb	3.8	1-1/2
4	6	KILLER INSTINCT TT A Badel · C Fownes	A Badel	C Fownes	1	120 lb	5.2	2-1/4
5	8	NOTHING IMPOSSIBLE Closed strongly Z Purton · K W Lui	Z Purton	K W Lui	5	120 lb	5.9	2-3/4
6	1	CINQUANTE CINQ B M F Poon · T P Yung	M F Poon	T P Yung	3	125 lb	11.0	3-1/4
7	2	MAJESTIC VICTORY TT J Moreira · A S Cruz	J Moreira	A S Cruz	8	127 lb	9.4	3-1/4
8	5	EXCEPTIONAL NICE B/E/TT C Y Ho · W Y So	C Y Ho	W Y So	9	121 lb	10.0	4-3/4
9	4	OUR LUCKY GLORY Led early SR L Ferraris · D J Whyte	L Ferraris	D J Whyte	6	123 lb	25.0	6-1/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22

The model's top pick DR WINNING (25.2%) finished 3rd — the winner PRIME MINISTER was rated #9. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.

Rank	No.	Horse	Win %	Rated price	Pos	Final odds
1	7	DR WINNING	25.2%	3.97	3	3.8
2	2	MAJESTIC VICTORY	16.0%	6.24	7	9.4
3	8	NOTHING IMPOSSIBLE	14.0%	7.13	5	5.9
4	9	THE ANOMALY	11.4%	8.76	2	5.6
5	5	EXCEPTIONAL NICE	10.6%	9.39	8	10.0
6	6	KILLER INSTINCT	8.7%	11.52	4	5.2
7	1	CINQUANTE CINQ	5.9%	16.88	6	11.0
8	4	OUR LUCKY GLORY	4.1%	24.58	9	25.0
9	3	PRIME MINISTER	4.0%	24.81	1	12.0

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 120

PLACE

3 32

7 15

9 17

QUINELLA

3,9 327.5

QUINELLA PLACE

3,7 75

3,9 79.5

7,9 39.5

FORECAST

3,9 729

TIERCE

3,9,7 2,912

TRIO

3,7,9 347

FIRST 4

3,6,7,9 379

QUARTET

3,9,7,6 12,551

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A1 —

A3 32

A2 —

5TH DOUBLE

12/3 860.5

12/9 74.5

← Race 5 Race 7 → This meeting Draw bias · Happy Valley 1650m Need this as data? Full results archive from $99