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Happy Valley · 2022-04-06 · 21:16

Race 6

Class 3 GOOD 1650m Course A 8 runners

Result

Official · 1.40.25
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 PRIME MINISTER Closed strongly TT 1.40.25 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · P F Yiu 2 12.0 1
2 0 THE ANOMALY M Chadwick · K H Ting 7 5.6 1
3 0 DR WINNING Closed strongly TT K Teetan · J Size 4 3.8 1-1/2
4 0 KILLER INSTINCT TT A Badel · C Fownes 1 5.2 2-1/4
5 0 NOTHING IMPOSSIBLE Closed strongly Z Purton · K W Lui 5 5.9 2-3/4
6 0 CINQUANTE CINQ B M F Poon · T P Yung 3 11.0 3-1/4
7 0 MAJESTIC VICTORY TT J Moreira · A S Cruz 8 9.4 3-1/4
8 0 EXCEPTIONAL NICE B/E/TT C Y Ho · W Y So 9 10.0 4-3/4
— 0 OUR LUCKY GLORY Led early SR L Ferraris · D J Whyte — 25.0 6-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2022-04-06 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. PRIME MINISTER, ridden by K C Leung and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1, with THE ANOMALY second and DR WINNING third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.8 favourite DR WINNING finished 3rd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. PRIME MINISTER—2. THE ANOMALY+1L3. DR WINNING+1.5L4. KILLER INSTINCT+2.25L5. NOTHING IMPOSSIBLE+2.75L6. CINQUANTE CINQ+3.25L7. MAJESTIC VICTORY+3.25L8. EXCEPTIONAL NICE+4.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick DR WINNING (25.2%) finished 3rd — the winner PRIME MINISTER was rated #9. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 DR WINNING 25.2% 3.97 3
2 0 MAJESTIC VICTORY 16.0% 6.24 7
3 0 NOTHING IMPOSSIBLE 14.0% 7.13 5
4 0 THE ANOMALY 11.4% 8.76 2
5 0 EXCEPTIONAL NICE 10.6% 9.39 8
6 0 KILLER INSTINCT 8.7% 11.52 4
7 0 CINQUANTE CINQ 5.9% 16.88 6
8 0 OUR LUCKY GLORY 4.1% 24.58 —
9 0 PRIME MINISTER 4.0% 24.81 1
DR WINNINGMAJESTIC VICTORYNOTHING IMPOSSIBLETHE ANOMALYEXCEPTIONAL NICEKILLER INSTINCTCINQUANTE CINQOUR LUCKY GLORYPRIME MINISTER — won

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 120

PLACE

3 32

7 15

9 17

QUINELLA

3,9 327.5

QUINELLA PLACE

3,7 75

3,9 79.5

7,9 39.5

FORECAST

3,9 729

TIERCE

3,9,7 2,912

TRIO

3,7,9 347

FIRST 4

3,6,7,9 379

QUARTET

3,9,7,6 12,551

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A1 —

A3 32

5TH DOUBLE

12/3 860.5

12/9 74.5