跑馬地 · 2022-04-20 · 20:16
第 4場
2022-04-20跑馬地第4場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由K C Leung策騎、P F Yiu訓練的SUPER MISSION勝出，贏出1-1/4。HERCULES獲得亞軍；DURHAM STAR獲得季軍。2.9倍大熱門WHISKEY NEAT跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SUPER MISSION H/TT 1.09.96 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 8 | 4.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 10 | HERCULES B/XB/TT K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 12 | 12.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 5 | DURHAM STAR SR/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 11 | 5.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 11 | PEAK TO PEAK V/TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 2 | 6.4 | 2 |
| 5 | 2 | SO AWESOME B/TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 10 | 35.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 12 | WHISKEY NEAT TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 5 | 2.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | MASTER OF LUCK H1/TT1 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 9 | 39.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 7 | AURORA HERO B Shinn · P O'Sullivan | B Shinn | P O'Sullivan | 4 | 24.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | HAPPY MATADOR B/XB1/TT R Maia · R Gibson | R Maia | R Gibson | 3 | 40.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 3 | HAPPY SOUL CP1/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 7 | 35.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 6 | OVERSUBSCRIBED XB L Currie · D J Hall | L Currie | D J Hall | 1 | 17.0 | 9 |
| 12 | 8 | HANDSOME GUYS C L Chau · Y S Tsui | C L Chau | Y S Tsui | 6 | 35.0 | 9-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | WHISKEY NEAT | 24.4% | 4.09 | 6 |
| 2 | 11 | PEAK TO PEAK | 15.4% | 6.49 | 4 |
| 3 | 6 | OVERSUBSCRIBED | 15.1% | 6.61 | 11 |
| 4 | 1 | SUPER MISSION | 11.8% | 8.48 | 1 |
| 5 | 5 | DURHAM STAR | 7.1% | 14.08 | 3 |
| 6 | 10 | HERCULES | 6.9% | 14.40 | 2 |
| 7 | 4 | MASTER OF LUCK | 4.9% | 20.48 | 7 |
| 8 | 9 | HAPPY MATADOR | 4.9% | 20.61 | 9 |
| 9 | 2 | SO AWESOME | 4.7% | 21.27 | 5 |
| 10 | 7 | AURORA HERO | 2.5% | 40.44 | 8 |
| 11 | 3 | HAPPY SOUL | 1.4% | 69.97 | 10 |
| 12 | 8 | HANDSOME GUYS | 0.8% | 118.10 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 42.5
PLACE
1 15
5 23.5
10 33
QUINELLA
1,10 277.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 51
1,10 91
5,10 109.5
FORECAST
1,10 422
TIERCE
1,10,5 1,667
TRIO
1,5,10 365
FIRST 4
1,5,10,11 442
QUARTET
1,10,5,11 8,045
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 26.5
3RD DOUBLE
3/1 185
3/10 77.5