跑馬地 · 2022-05-18 · 20:51
第 5場
2022-05-18跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Badel策騎、D J Hall訓練的OVERSUBSCRIBED勝出，贏出1/2。STOICISM獲得亞軍；DURHAM STAR獲得季軍。3.3倍大熱門GANG OF BROTHERS跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | OVERSUBSCRIBED XB 1.10.51 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 10 | 68.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 1 | STOICISM CP1/TT L Ferraris · R Gibson | L Ferraris | R Gibson | 6 | 12.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 6 | DURHAM STAR SR-/XB/B2 L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 12 | 6.6 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | GANG OF BROTHERS B B Shinn · P O'Sullivan | B Shinn | P O'Sullivan | 1 | 3.3 | 1 |
| 5 | 5 | HERCULES B/XB/TT K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 8 | 6.8 | 2 |
| 6 | 4 | BIRDSVILLE B/TT L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 3 | 14.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 8 | SINGAPORE SPIRIT B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 2 | 6.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 12 | AMBITIOUS HEART B/TT H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 5 | 31.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 2 | HARMONY N HOME Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 4 | 4.9 | 3 |
| 10 | 11 | THE GOOD DEAL H/TT V Borges · C W Chang | V Borges | C W Chang | 11 | 102.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 9 | HAPPILY FRIENDS V C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 9 | 52.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 12 | 3 | FARSHAD B2/SR2 K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 7 | 36.0 | 5-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | GANG OF BROTHERS | 25.7% | 3.89 | 4 |
| 2 | 2 | HARMONY N HOME | 15.9% | 6.30 | 9 |
| 3 | 8 | SINGAPORE SPIRIT | 13.9% | 7.20 | 7 |
| 4 | 6 | DURHAM STAR | 10.2% | 9.81 | 3 |
| 5 | 4 | BIRDSVILLE | 9.8% | 10.22 | 6 |
| 6 | 5 | HERCULES | 7.5% | 13.29 | 5 |
| 7 | 1 | STOICISM | 5.1% | 19.58 | 2 |
| 8 | 11 | THE GOOD DEAL | 3.4% | 29.77 | 10 |
| 9 | 12 | AMBITIOUS HEART | 2.5% | 40.27 | 8 |
| 10 | 3 | FARSHAD | 2.4% | 41.12 | 12 |
| 11 | 10 | OVERSUBSCRIBED | 2.3% | 43.34 | 1 |
| 12 | 9 | HAPPILY FRIENDS | 1.4% | 73.26 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 687
PLACE
1 36.5
6 21.5
10 138
QUINELLA
1,10 4,771.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 139
1,10 1,081.5
6,10 527
FORECAST
10,1 5,608
TIERCE
10,1,6 46,853
TRIO
1,6,10 10,030
FIRST 4
1,6,7,10 4,412
QUARTET
10,1,6,7 167,140
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
3,7,8/1,6,10 1,123,212
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 31
4TH DOUBLE
3/1 223
3/10 8,687