跑馬地 · 2022-05-18 · 22:57
第 9場
2022-05-18跑馬地第9場，Class 2，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、K W Lui訓練的KEEP YOU WARM勝出，贏出2。LUCKY WITH YOU獲得亞軍；EXPLOSIVE WITNESS獲得季軍。4.0倍大熱門CAMPIONE跑獲第9名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | KEEP YOU WARM B/XB 1.09.43 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 4 | 5.2 | 2 |
| 2 | 7 | LUCKY WITH YOU K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 3 | 4.3 | 2 |
| 3 | 6 | EXPLOSIVE WITNESS SR/XB A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 10 | 15.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 1 | VOYAGE WARRIOR K H Chan · P F Yiu | K H Chan | P F Yiu | 9 | 25.0 | 4 |
| 5 | 9 | MCLUCKY SR L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 2 | 7.5 | 4 |
| 6 | 11 | EASON TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 7 | 4.6 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 2 | GRATEFUL HEART CP/TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 6 | 37.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 10 | THE RUNNER V K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 8 | 56.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 4 | CAMPIONE TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 5 | 4.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 5 | SCORES OF FUN TT L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 12 | 53.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 3 | SILVER FIG B/TT A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 1 | 55.0 | 9 |
| 12 | 12 | HIGHLY PROACTIVE H/P/TT C Wong · C W Chang | C Wong | C W Chang | 11 | 103.0 | 10-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | LUCKY WITH YOU | 27.9% | 3.59 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | CAMPIONE | 18.7% | 5.35 | 9 |
| 3 | 8 | KEEP YOU WARM | 16.6% | 6.03 | 1 |
| 4 | 11 | EASON | 12.3% | 8.16 | 6 |
| 5 | 9 | MCLUCKY | 6.9% | 14.46 | 5 |
| 6 | 1 | VOYAGE WARRIOR | 3.2% | 31.08 | 4 |
| 7 | 5 | SCORES OF FUN | 3.0% | 32.84 | 10 |
| 8 | 6 | EXPLOSIVE WITNESS | 3.0% | 33.52 | 3 |
| 9 | 2 | GRATEFUL HEART | 2.7% | 37.01 | 7 |
| 10 | 3 | SILVER FIG | 2.3% | 43.51 | 11 |
| 11 | 10 | THE RUNNER | 2.0% | 50.74 | 8 |
| 12 | 12 | HIGHLY PROACTIVE | 1.4% | 69.13 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 52.5
PLACE
6 41
7 16
8 18
QUINELLA
7,8 106.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,7 146.5
6,8 139.5
7,8 38.5
FORECAST
8,7 304
TIERCE
8,7,6 2,034
TRIO
6,7,8 687
FIRST 4
1,6,7,8 2,167
QUARTET
8,7,6,1 29,781
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 18.5
A3 —
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
5,10,12/6,7,8 87,526
8TH DOUBLE
12/7 81.5
12/8 517.5
SIX UP
3,8/1,10/5,11/1,8,9/5,12/7,8 109,431
6 [L Hewitson] —
TREBLE
1,8/12/7 185
1,8/12/8 1,459