跑馬地 · 2022-05-18 · 21:21
第 6場
2022-05-18跑馬地第6場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由L Hewitson策騎、D J Whyte訓練的VALIANT ELEGANCE勝出，贏出1/2。MAGIC PHOENIX獲得亞軍；DROPS OF GOD獲得季軍。3.7倍大熱門DROPS OF GOD跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | VALIANT ELEGANCE B/TT 1.09.51 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 8 | 11.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 5 | MAGIC PHOENIX TT B Shinn · K H Ting | B Shinn | K H Ting | 3 | 6.8 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 1 | DROPS OF GOD Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 10 | 3.7 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 9 | FLAMING PASSION TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 1 | 3.7 | 1 |
| 5 | 10 | MERCURIAL H/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 6 | 24.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 8 | KILLER INSTINCT TT C Wong · C Fownes | C Wong | C Fownes | 11 | 18.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | RACING FIGHTER B/TT V Borges · C H Yip | V Borges | C H Yip | 2 | 15.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | CLASSIC POSH L Currie · D J Hall | L Currie | D J Hall | 4 | 28.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 2 | FAMILY FOLKS B A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 12 | 22.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | SCOTCH TYCOON H K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 9 | 7.5 | 5 |
| 11 | 7 | ENCOUNTERED A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 5 | 23.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 3 | JOLLY GOOD HEART H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 7 | 61.0 | 6-1/2 |
| — | 0 | GALLANT CROWN H T Mo · A T Millard | H T Mo | A T Millard | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | FLAMING PASSION | 21.9% | 4.57 | 4 |
| 2 | 5 | MAGIC PHOENIX | 15.2% | 6.56 | 2 |
| 3 | 6 | SCOTCH TYCOON | 14.7% | 6.80 | 10 |
| 4 | 1 | DROPS OF GOD | 11.6% | 8.64 | 3 |
| 5 | 8 | KILLER INSTINCT | 8.9% | 11.24 | 6 |
| 6 | 11 | VALIANT ELEGANCE | 6.7% | 14.97 | 1 |
| 7 | 2 | FAMILY FOLKS | 4.6% | 21.84 | 9 |
| 8 | 10 | MERCURIAL | 4.3% | 23.15 | 5 |
| 9 | 3 | JOLLY GOOD HEART | 3.8% | 26.00 | 12 |
| 10 | 4 | CLASSIC POSH | 3.7% | 27.19 | 8 |
| 11 | 7 | ENCOUNTERED | 2.8% | 35.72 | 11 |
| 12 | 12 | RACING FIGHTER | 1.8% | 55.25 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 111
PLACE
1 16.5
5 24
11 31
QUINELLA
5,11 449
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 55.5
1,11 83.5
5,11 145.5
FORECAST
11,5 895
TIERCE
11,5,1 3,585
TRIO
1,5,11 630
FIRST 4
1,5,9,11 329
QUARTET
11,5,1,9 10,437
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 27
A3 —
5TH DOUBLE
10/5 1,474
10/11 9,175