跑馬地 · 2022-07-06 · 21:46
第 7場
2022-07-06跑馬地第7場，Class 4，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD。由L Hewitson策騎、D J Whyte訓練的BIG TWO勝出，贏出1-1/2。FREE FOAL獲得亞軍；ICE LEGEND獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以3.0倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | BIG TWO 後段發力 H/SR/XB 1.40.24 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 1 | 3.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 9 | FREE FOAL 後段發力 V L Ferraris · F C Lor | L Ferraris | F C Lor | 7 | 40.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 2 | ICE LEGEND 後段發力 H/BO1/TT H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 2 | 14.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | MY INTELLIGENT 早段領放 TT M Chadwick · L Ho | M Chadwick | L Ho | 6 | 7.1 | 2 |
| 5 | 10 | CHARIZARD 後段發力 B/TT J Moreira · A T Millard | J Moreira | A T Millard | 12 | 18.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 12 | AMAZING NEWS 後段發力 P/XB M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 4 | 11.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 3 | EVER LAUGH B/TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 8 | 38.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 5 | EVER FORCE B C Y Ho · Y S Tsui | C Y Ho | Y S Tsui | 5 | 21.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 8 | SUNNY DELIGHT B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 3 | 3.4 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 1 | FEARLESS FIRE 後段發力 XB C L Chau · D A Hayes | C L Chau | D A Hayes | 9 | 50.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | OUR CREED V B Shinn · K H Ting | B Shinn | K H Ting | 10 | 12.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 12 | 11 | VITRALITE XB A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 11 | 29.0 | 8-3/4 |
| — | 0 | ANGELS HUNTER R Maia · P O'Sullivan | R Maia | P O'Sullivan | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | BIG TWO | 24.6% | 4.06 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | SUNNY DELIGHT | 20.8% | 4.81 | 9 |
| 3 | 7 | OUR CREED | 9.5% | 10.49 | 11 |
| 4 | 12 | AMAZING NEWS | 8.0% | 12.50 | 6 |
| 5 | 10 | CHARIZARD | 7.1% | 14.12 | 5 |
| 6 | 6 | MY INTELLIGENT | 6.2% | 16.16 | 4 |
| 7 | 11 | VITRALITE | 5.5% | 18.06 | 12 |
| 8 | 9 | FREE FOAL | 4.7% | 21.16 | 2 |
| 9 | 5 | EVER FORCE | 4.5% | 22.10 | 8 |
| 10 | 1 | FEARLESS FIRE | 3.3% | 30.03 | 10 |
| 11 | 2 | ICE LEGEND | 3.1% | 32.45 | 3 |
| 12 | 3 | EVER LAUGH | 2.6% | 39.13 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 30.5
PLACE
2 40.5
4 14.5
9 95
QUINELLA
4,9 692
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 84.5
2,9 722
4,9 206
FORECAST
4,9 1,098
TIERCE
4,9,2 12,534
TRIO
2,4,9 2,664
FIRST 4
2,4,6,9 3,449
QUARTET
4,9,2,6 74,178
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
6,7,10/2,4,9 553,470
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 16
A3 —
6TH DOUBLE
7/4 143
7/9 416.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,4,6/6,7,10/Any Combination 66,886