沙田 · 2022-10-01 · 14:31
第 4場
2022-10-01沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由L Hewitson策騎、A S Cruz訓練的PERFECT PEACH勝出，贏出HD。COMPASSION SPIRIT獲得亞軍；LIFELINE VISION獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.9倍大熱門COMPASSION SPIRIT跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | PERFECT PEACH 後段發力 B/H/TT 1.21.66 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Hewitson · A S Cruz | L Hewitson | A S Cruz | 3 | 10.0 | HD |
| 2 | 2 | COMPASSION SPIRIT B Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 1 | 3.9 | HD |
| 3 | 7 | LIFELINE VISION 後段發力 CP2 K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 6 | 16.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 13 | SUPER HIGHWAY B/H/TT H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 10 | 9.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 14 | SPICY SKEWER 後段發力 CP V Borges · K L Man | V Borges | K L Man | 2 | 34.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 10 | SPLENDID LIVING 早段領放 H-/XB-/TT- M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 5 | 18.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 5 | COPARTNER ERA 後段發力 B C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 4 | 17.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 1 | GRACYLOVE 後段發力 V L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 9 | 22.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 4 | SMILING COLLECTOR SR-/V1/XB1 M Chadwick · K H Ting | M Chadwick | K H Ting | 14 | 5.6 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 8 | OVER THE MOON 後段發力 B/TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 7 | 9.4 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 9 | MAXIMIZE HEART B2 R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 8 | 10.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 12 | RING BELLS 後段發力 B/XB A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 13 | 23.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 13 | 3 | LEATHER VANGUARD Y L Chung · T P Yung | Y L Chung | T P Yung | 11 | 14.0 | 7 |
| 14 | 6 | ROYAL AGILITY B/TT A Hamelin · Y S Tsui | A Hamelin | Y S Tsui | 12 | 40.0 | 19-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | COMPASSION SPIRIT | 12.3% | 8.14 | 2 |
| 2 | 8 | OVER THE MOON | 10.7% | 9.33 | 10 |
| 3 | 5 | COPARTNER ERA | 10.3% | 9.68 | 7 |
| 4 | 4 | SMILING COLLECTOR | 10.1% | 9.92 | 9 |
| 5 | 3 | LEATHER VANGUARD | 8.9% | 11.29 | 13 |
| 6 | 13 | SUPER HIGHWAY | 8.7% | 11.55 | 4 |
| 7 | 7 | LIFELINE VISION | 6.8% | 14.71 | 3 |
| 8 | 10 | SPLENDID LIVING | 6.4% | 15.58 | 6 |
| 9 | 11 | PERFECT PEACH | 6.4% | 15.65 | 1 |
| 10 | 12 | RING BELLS | 5.4% | 18.58 | 12 |
| 11 | 9 | MAXIMIZE HEART | 4.8% | 20.63 | 11 |
| 12 | 1 | GRACYLOVE | 4.3% | 23.21 | 8 |
| 13 | 6 | ROYAL AGILITY | 3.2% | 31.72 | 14 |
| 14 | 14 | SPICY SKEWER | 1.8% | 56.35 | 5 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 106.5
PLACE
2 16.5
7 47
11 36.5
QUINELLA
2,11 230
QUINELLA PLACE
2,7 123
2,11 83
7,11 262
FORECAST
11,2 417
TIERCE
11,2,7 4,661
TRIO
2,7,11 1,143
FIRST 4
2,7,11,13 2,902
QUARTET
11,2,7,13 64,753
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
10>2,7,8/2,7,11 14,846
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 34.5
3RD DOUBLE
2/2 35
2/11 287.5