Sha Tin · 2022-10-01 · 14:31
Race 4
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2022-10-01 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. PERFECT PEACH, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by A S Cruz, won by HD, with COMPASSION SPIRIT second and LIFELINE VISION third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.9 favourite COMPASSION SPIRIT finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | PERFECT PEACH Closed strongly B/H/TT 1.21.66 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · A S Cruz | L Hewitson | A S Cruz | 3 | 10.0 | HD |
| 2 | 2 | COMPASSION SPIRIT B Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 1 | 3.9 | HD |
| 3 | 7 | LIFELINE VISION Closed strongly CP2 K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 6 | 16.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 13 | SUPER HIGHWAY B/H/TT H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 10 | 9.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 14 | SPICY SKEWER Closed strongly CP V Borges · K L Man | V Borges | K L Man | 2 | 34.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 10 | SPLENDID LIVING Led early H-/XB-/TT- M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 5 | 18.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 5 | COPARTNER ERA Closed strongly B C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 4 | 17.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 1 | GRACYLOVE Closed strongly V L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 9 | 22.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 4 | SMILING COLLECTOR SR-/V1/XB1 M Chadwick · K H Ting | M Chadwick | K H Ting | 14 | 5.6 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 8 | OVER THE MOON Closed strongly B/TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 7 | 9.4 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 9 | MAXIMIZE HEART B2 R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 8 | 10.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 12 | RING BELLS Closed strongly B/XB A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 13 | 23.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 13 | 3 | LEATHER VANGUARD Y L Chung · T P Yung | Y L Chung | T P Yung | 11 | 14.0 | 7 |
| 14 | 6 | ROYAL AGILITY B/TT A Hamelin · Y S Tsui | A Hamelin | Y S Tsui | 12 | 40.0 | 19-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | COMPASSION SPIRIT | 12.3% | 8.14 | 2 |
| 2 | 8 | OVER THE MOON | 10.7% | 9.33 | 10 |
| 3 | 5 | COPARTNER ERA | 10.3% | 9.68 | 7 |
| 4 | 4 | SMILING COLLECTOR | 10.1% | 9.92 | 9 |
| 5 | 3 | LEATHER VANGUARD | 8.9% | 11.29 | 13 |
| 6 | 13 | SUPER HIGHWAY | 8.7% | 11.55 | 4 |
| 7 | 7 | LIFELINE VISION | 6.8% | 14.71 | 3 |
| 8 | 10 | SPLENDID LIVING | 6.4% | 15.58 | 6 |
| 9 | 11 | PERFECT PEACH | 6.4% | 15.65 | 1 |
| 10 | 12 | RING BELLS | 5.4% | 18.58 | 12 |
| 11 | 9 | MAXIMIZE HEART | 4.8% | 20.63 | 11 |
| 12 | 1 | GRACYLOVE | 4.3% | 23.21 | 8 |
| 13 | 6 | ROYAL AGILITY | 3.2% | 31.72 | 14 |
| 14 | 14 | SPICY SKEWER | 1.8% | 56.35 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 106.5
PLACE
2 16.5
7 47
11 36.5
QUINELLA
2,11 230
QUINELLA PLACE
2,7 123
2,11 83
7,11 262
FORECAST
11,2 417
TIERCE
11,2,7 4,661
TRIO
2,7,11 1,143
FIRST 4
2,7,11,13 2,902
QUARTET
11,2,7,13 64,753
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
10>2,7,8/2,7,11 14,846
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 34.5
3RD DOUBLE
2/2 35
2/11 287.5