Sha Tin · 2022-10-01 · 15:03
Race 5
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2022-10-01 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. OSCAR GLORY, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by F C Lor, won by 1/2, with KASI FARASI second and PRESIDENT'S CHOICE third. The winner led throughout. The 4.1 favourite PRESIDENT'S CHOICE finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | OSCAR GLORY Wire to wire V 1.34.83 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Y L Chung · F C Lor | Y L Chung | F C Lor | 1 | 4.7 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 8 | KASI FARASI Closed strongly R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 3 | 18.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 6 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE L Ferraris · C W Chang | L Ferraris | C W Chang | 2 | 4.1 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 1 | DARCI JOY Closed strongly B/TT L Hewitson · P F Yiu | L Hewitson | P F Yiu | 5 | 8.6 | 3 |
| 5 | 5 | TURQUOISE ALPHA Closed strongly CP/H/XB C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 10 | 7.2 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 7 | SMOOTHIES Closed strongly B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 6 | 34.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 12 | BRIGHT KID Closed strongly B/XB M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 11 | 9.9 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | ROCKPAPERSCISSORS CP/TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 8 | 5.7 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 13 | YOUNG EXPLORER CP-/B1 M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 7 | 79.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 11 | FLYING MIGHTY B/TT H T Mo · D J Hall | H T Mo | D J Hall | 9 | 35.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 2 | ARTHUR'S KINGDOM Closed strongly H2/XB2 C L Chau · Y S Tsui | C L Chau | Y S Tsui | 12 | 74.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 10 | FIERY FLYING H- K C Leung · A T Millard | K C Leung | A T Millard | 4 | 15.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 13 | 9 | FOREVER GLORIOUS TT A Hamelin · K W Lui | A Hamelin | K W Lui | 13 | 34.0 | 9-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | OSCAR GLORY | 20.7% | 4.84 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | ROCKPAPERSCISSORS | 17.3% | 5.79 | 8 |
| 3 | 6 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE | 12.6% | 7.95 | 3 |
| 4 | 1 | DARCI JOY | 9.6% | 10.46 | 4 |
| 5 | 12 | BRIGHT KID | 8.0% | 12.58 | 7 |
| 6 | 5 | TURQUOISE ALPHA | 7.4% | 13.60 | 5 |
| 7 | 10 | FIERY FLYING | 5.3% | 18.74 | 12 |
| 8 | 8 | KASI FARASI | 5.2% | 19.14 | 2 |
| 9 | 11 | FLYING MIGHTY | 4.6% | 21.75 | 10 |
| 10 | 7 | SMOOTHIES | 3.4% | 29.17 | 6 |
| 11 | 2 | ARTHUR'S KINGDOM | 3.1% | 31.97 | 11 |
| 12 | 9 | FOREVER GLORIOUS | 1.9% | 52.00 | 13 |
| 13 | 13 | YOUNG EXPLORER | 1.0% | 102.71 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 47.5
PLACE
3 16.5
6 17
8 48.5
QUINELLA
3,8 428
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 35
3,8 105.5
6,8 115
FORECAST
3,8 702
TIERCE
3,8,6 2,879
TRIO
3,6,8 505
FIRST 4
1,3,6,8 670
QUARTET
3,8,6,1 15,986
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 21.5
A3 —
A1 —
4TH DOUBLE
11/3 528.5
11/8 241