Sha Tin · 2022-10-01 · 14:02
Race 3
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2022-10-01 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. BEAUTY TYCOON, ridden by A Badel and trained by J Size, won by 1-1/4, with ONE VOICE second and SNOWALOT third. The 2.2 favourite ONE VOICE finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | BEAUTY TYCOON H1/P1 1.08.87 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 1 | 4.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 7 | ONE VOICE TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 3 | 2.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 10 | SNOWALOT B- L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 11 | 16.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | SUCCESS FIGHTER B/TT H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 2 | 7.1 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 6 | MARADO B L Hewitson · P C Ng | L Hewitson | P C Ng | 4 | 17.0 | 5 |
| 6 | 1 | SOARING TOWER K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 8 | 15.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 9 | GLORY BO BO B/TT Y L Chung · C S Shum | Y L Chung | C S Shum | 10 | 11.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 8 | 11 | SON PAK FU BO C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 5 | 34.0 | 8 |
| 9 | 12 | WIN WIN CHARITY XB/TT A Hamelin · K W Lui | A Hamelin | K W Lui | 9 | 66.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 10 | 3 | CHARMING STEED TT M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 6 | 26.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 11 | 4 | WE ARE HERO B M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 7 | 16.0 | 12-1/4 |
| — | 0 | GOOD RUNNER Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | — | — | — |
| — | 8 | MIRACULOUS HONOUR H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | ONE VOICE | 35.6% | 2.81 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | BEAUTY TYCOON | 16.6% | 6.02 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | SUCCESS FIGHTER | 8.4% | 11.90 | 4 |
| 4 | 4 | WE ARE HERO | 7.3% | 13.76 | 11 |
| 5 | 9 | GLORY BO BO | 7.1% | 14.09 | 7 |
| 6 | 3 | CHARMING STEED | 6.0% | 16.80 | 10 |
| 7 | 6 | MARADO | 5.4% | 18.57 | 5 |
| 8 | 11 | SON PAK FU | 4.3% | 23.31 | 8 |
| 9 | 10 | SNOWALOT | 4.2% | 24.00 | 3 |
| 10 | 1 | SOARING TOWER | 3.6% | 28.02 | 6 |
| 11 | 12 | WIN WIN CHARITY | 1.6% | 61.82 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 45.5
PLACE
2 16
7 11
10 47.5
QUINELLA
2,7 47
QUINELLA PLACE
2,7 22
2,10 103
7,10 71
FORECAST
2,7 119
TIERCE
2,7,10 982
TRIO
2,7,10 224
FIRST 4
2,5,7,10 247
QUARTET
2,7,10,5 4,744
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
5/2 102.5
5/7,8 10.5
3 PICK 1
A1 15
A2 —
A3 —